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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats34%9375
28Wizards66%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.7
37.9
31.1
8
21%
6
4
1
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
4-15
4-10
27%
41%
0-4
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
34.5
15.9
17
75%
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
43%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
32.8
26.4
13
60%
9
1
4
1
9
2
2
7
3-4
75%
5-9
4-8
56%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.4
29.3
26.9
10
52%
6
0
1
1
0
3
3
3
4-6
67%
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.9
18.0
25.4
5
32%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-6
5-10
17%
46%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.4
23.5
12.8
1
17%
7
0
0
0
4
1
4
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.6
20.7
15.0
13
51%
0
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
4-6
67%
3-8
2-5
38%
43%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
20.7
21.4
4
25%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
53%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.0
11.1
4.9
2
33%
1
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
9.3
8.6
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
2.3
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
31.0
1
5-11
47%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.2
15.8
0
2-4
45%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.4
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
29.2
31.7
20
51%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
5-14
5-9
36%
48%
2-4
50%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
26.3
34.2
12
67%
6
4
0
1
2
7
1
5
0-0
-
6-9
6-13
67%
45%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.5
23.9
22.9
6
38%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
23.9
29.5
17
51%
10
4
2
1
0
1
4
6
3-4
75%
7-14
5-11
50%
48%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
21.4
27.2
6
60%
10
1
0
1
4
1
4
6
0-0
-
3-5
5-8
60%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.2
24.1
13.6
2
25%
4
1
5
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.1
22.4
11.0
8
55%
7
1
0
0
1
2
3
4
2-3
67%
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.8
21.7
12.0
4
41%
3
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.8
19.1
9.0
6
87%
6
0
1
0
3
3
1
5
0-1
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.3
18.8
24.0
9
46%
0
5
1
1
1
3
0
0
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.2
9.2
13.5
2
50%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
7.9
0
0-1
43%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.2
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 25.0
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.