FinalWin Prob.pScore
374%100
101
2926%92
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
116.18790.6
DET logo DET
112.68784.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)101
95.1%
98
4.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)100
93.9%
98
6.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
89.8%
98
10.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETMISS Monroe 6' Jump Shot99
85.0%
98
15.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)99
71.8%
98
28.2%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
77.6%
98
22.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
84.1%
98
15.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0DETMISS Knight 1' Layup99
80.4%
98
19.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0DETKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)99
70.8%
98
29.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Daye 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
80.0%
98
20.0%
Q4 - 1:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)99
70.7%
98
29.3%
Q4 - 1:00MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)98
67.8%
98
32.2%
Q4 - 1:05DETWilkins Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T21)97
57.5%
98
42.5%
Q4 - 1:19MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)97
43.1%
98
56.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)96
40.2%
98
59.8%
Q4 - 1:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
32.4%
98
67.6%
Q4 - 1:26DETMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 295
30.8%
98
69.2%
Q4 - 1:26DETMISS Knight Free Throw 1 of 295
23.3%
98
76.7%
Q4 - 1:28MIADaye STEAL (1 STL)95
21.0%
98
79.0%
Q4 - 1:33DETJerebko 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)95
34.0%
98
66.0%
Q4 - 1:46DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)95
58.9%
95
41.1%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot95
62.8%
95
37.2%
Q4 - 2:06DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)95
72.7%
95
27.3%
Q4 - 2:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)95
85.8%
92
14.2%
Q4 - 2:44DETKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)92
73.4%
92
26.6%
Q4 - 3:04MIABosh 1' Reverse Layup (24 PTS) (James 6 AST)92
59.0%
92
41.0%
Q4 - 3:16DETKnight 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Daye 2 AST)90
51.7%
92
48.3%
Q4 - 3:33DETDaye REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
62.8%
90
37.2%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot90
65.6%
90
34.4%
Q4 - 3:50DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
71.7%
90
28.3%
Q4 - 3:50DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)90
73.5%
89
26.5%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMonroe STEAL (3 STL)90
78.3%
88
21.7%
Q4 - 4:18DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)90
84.6%
88
15.4%
Q4 - 4:18DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)90
85.5%
87
14.5%
Q4 - 4:35MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)90
88.8%
86
11.2%
Q4 - 4:45DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
92.4%
86
7.6%
Q4 - 4:45DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
92.7%
85
7.3%
Q4 - 5:00MIAStuckey STEAL (1 STL)90
94.5%
84
5.5%
Q4 - 5:16DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)90
94.9%
84
5.1%
Q4 - 5:16DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)90
95.2%
83
4.8%
Q4 - 5:16DETDaye REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
96.3%
82
3.7%
Q4 - 5:17DETMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
97.1%
82
2.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIAJames 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)90
96.3%
82
3.7%
Q4 - 5:55MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
97.4%
82
2.6%
Q4 - 5:57DETMISS Daye 28' 3PT Jump Shot90
97.1%
82
2.9%
Q4 - 6:02DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
95.5%
82
4.5%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMaxiell BLOCK (2 BLK)90
95.9%
82
4.1%
Q4 - 6:24DETDaye 13' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)90
96.7%
82
3.3%
Q4 - 6:42DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
97.5%
80
2.5%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot90
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q4 - 6:55DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)90
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q4 - 6:55DETDaye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
97.5%
80
2.5%
Q4 - 6:56DETMISS Daye 16' Jump Shot90
98.0%
80
2.0%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMiller Tip Shot (10 PTS)90
97.1%
80
2.9%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
96.2%
80
3.8%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot88
95.4%
80
4.6%
Q4 - 7:44DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
96.2%
80
3.8%
Q4 - 7:44DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)88
96.4%
79
3.6%
Q4 - 7:47DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
97.1%
78
2.9%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot88
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 8:07DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)88
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 8:07DETPISTONS Rebound88
96.5%
78
3.5%
Q4 - 8:08DETMISS Maxiell 12' Jump Shot88
97.1%
78
2.9%
Q4 - 8:31DETPISTONS Rebound88
96.6%
78
3.4%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot88
96.8%
78
3.2%
Q4 - 8:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 8:46DETMISS Daye 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.1%
78
2.9%
Q4 - 8:58MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)88
96.6%
78
3.4%
Q4 - 9:01DETJerebko Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)86
94.9%
78
5.1%
Q4 - 9:05DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
93.7%
78
6.3%
Q4 - 9:06DETMISS Daye 20' Jump Shot86
94.6%
78
5.4%
Q4 - 9:26DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
93.7%
78
6.3%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
94.1%
78
5.9%
Q4 - 9:52DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)86
95.0%
78
5.0%
Q4 - 10:09MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
93.1%
78
6.9%
Q4 - 10:09MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)85
92.8%
78
7.2%
Q4 - 10:30DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
91.6%
78
8.4%
Q4 - 10:30DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)84
91.8%
77
8.2%
Q4 - 10:50MIABosh Layup (22 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)84
93.2%
76
6.8%
Q4 - 11:01DETJerebko 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)82
90.9%
76
9.1%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMiller 1' Layup (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)82
92.6%
74
7.4%
Q4 - 11:35DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)80
90.9%
74
9.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET80
89.1%
74
10.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound80
89.1%
74
10.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Wilkins 51' 3PT Jump Shot80
90.4%
74
9.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames 27' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
89.1%
74
10.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
83.7%
74
16.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETMISS Monroe 15' Jump Shot77
82.9%
74
17.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
81.0%
74
19.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Curry Layup77
81.8%
74
18.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
83.7%
74
16.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot77
81.8%
74
18.2%
Q3 - 1:20DETKnight 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)77
83.5%
74
16.5%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMonroe STEAL (2 STL)77
86.2%
72
13.8%
Q3 - 1:32DETDaye 8' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
88.3%
72
11.7%
Q3 - 1:40DETPISTONS Rebound77
90.3%
70
9.7%
Q3 - 1:41DETMISS Daye 7' Running Bank Shot77
91.3%
70
8.7%
Q3 - 1:56MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
90.3%
70
9.7%
Q3 - 1:56MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
89.9%
70
10.1%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
88.0%
70
12.0%
Q3 - 2:04DETMISS Knight 9' Floating Jump Shot75
87.3%
70
12.7%
Q3 - 2:21MIACole Driving Layup (9 PTS)75
85.8%
70
14.2%
Q3 - 2:39DETMonroe 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)73
83.4%
70
16.6%
Q3 - 3:00DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
80.7%
70
19.3%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot73
81.8%
70
18.2%
Q3 - 3:29DETMonroe 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)73
83.7%
70
16.3%
Q3 - 3:53MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
85.9%
68
14.1%
Q3 - 3:53MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
85.4%
68
14.6%
Q3 - 4:05DETMonroe 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS)71
83.6%
68
16.4%
Q3 - 4:24DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
85.5%
66
14.5%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Curry Layup71
86.3%
66
13.7%
Q3 - 4:42DETWilkins 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)71
87.9%
66
12.1%
Q3 - 4:58MIAJames Layup (15 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)71
89.3%
64
10.7%
Q3 - 5:17DETDaye 11' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)69
87.4%
64
12.6%
Q3 - 5:37MIAJames 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)69
89.0%
62
11.0%
Q3 - 5:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
87.5%
62
12.5%
Q3 - 5:51DETMISS Wilkins 15' Jump Shot67
86.8%
62
13.2%
Q3 - 6:18MIAChalmers 6' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)67
85.3%
62
14.7%
Q3 - 6:37MIAHeat Rebound65
83.3%
62
16.7%
Q3 - 6:38DETMISS Stuckey 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
82.6%
62
17.4%
Q3 - 6:56MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T5)65
80.7%
62
19.3%
Q3 - 6:57MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)65
83.3%
62
16.7%
Q3 - 7:05DETMonroe 1' Layup (11 PTS)64
80.5%
62
19.5%
Q3 - 7:10DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
82.7%
60
17.3%
Q3 - 7:11DETMISS Wallace 5' Hook Shot64
84.3%
60
15.7%
Q3 - 7:33MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)64
82.8%
60
17.2%
Q3 - 7:50DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
78.1%
60
21.9%
Q3 - 7:50DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
78.4%
59
21.6%
Q3 - 7:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
80.5%
58
19.5%
Q3 - 7:53DETMISS Knight 6' Floating Jump Shot61
82.2%
58
17.8%
Q3 - 7:59DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
80.5%
58
19.5%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot61
81.2%
58
18.8%
Q3 - 8:11DETMonroe 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
82.9%
58
17.1%
Q3 - 8:31DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
84.8%
56
15.2%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot61
85.4%
56
14.6%
Q3 - 8:53DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P3.T13)61
86.7%
56
13.3%
Q3 - 9:12MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)61
84.8%
56
15.2%
Q3 - 9:28DETKnight 10' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)58
80.7%
56
19.3%
Q3 - 9:32DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
82.9%
54
17.1%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
83.5%
54
16.5%
Q3 - 9:57DETWilkins Dunk (7 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)58
84.9%
54
15.1%
Q3 - 10:01DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
86.7%
52
13.3%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMonroe BLOCK (1 BLK)58
87.2%
52
12.8%
Q3 - 10:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q3 - 10:13DETMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
87.8%
52
12.2%
Q3 - 10:31MIAChalmers Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)58
86.7%
52
13.3%
Q3 - 10:34DETWilkins 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)58
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q3 - 10:57MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)58
89.6%
50
10.4%
Q3 - 11:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
88.4%
50
11.6%
Q3 - 11:09DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
87.9%
50
12.1%
Q3 - 11:32DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
86.8%
50
13.2%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot56
87.3%
50
12.7%
Q3 - 11:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
88.4%
50
11.6%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot56
87.3%
50
12.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
88.4%
50
11.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETDaye 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)56
88.4%
50
11.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
89.6%
48
10.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
89.4%
48
10.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
87.9%
48
12.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
88.2%
47
11.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0DETKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
89.6%
46
10.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot54
89.9%
46
10.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0DETDaye 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
90.5%
46
9.5%
Q2 - 1:02MIAChalmers 1' Layup (8 PTS)54
91.7%
44
8.3%
Q2 - 1:05DETWilkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)52
90.3%
44
9.7%
Q2 - 1:18DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
89.5%
44
10.5%
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
89.8%
44
10.2%
Q2 - 1:35DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)52
90.3%
44
9.7%
Q2 - 1:53MIAAnthony Layup (7 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)52
92.6%
41
7.4%
Q2 - 2:07DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)50
91.4%
41
8.6%
Q2 - 2:18MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)50
92.3%
39
7.7%
Q2 - 2:18MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
92.1%
39
7.9%
Q2 - 2:29MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
91.4%
39
8.6%
Q2 - 2:31DETMISS Monroe Layup48
91.1%
39
8.9%
Q2 - 2:52MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T3)48
90.4%
39
9.6%
Q2 - 3:08DETMonroe 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)48
91.5%
39
8.5%
Q2 - 3:25MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)48
92.2%
37
7.8%
Q2 - 3:51DETDaye Layup (14 PTS)45
90.4%
37
9.6%
Q2 - 4:00MIAJames 1' Layup (11 PTS)45
91.3%
35
8.7%
Q2 - 4:06DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)43
90.2%
35
9.8%
Q2 - 4:07DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
89.0%
35
11.0%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS James 1' Layup43
89.4%
35
10.6%
Q2 - 4:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
90.2%
35
9.8%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS James 9' Turnaround Jump Shot43
89.4%
35
10.6%
Q2 - 4:33DETDaye Foul Turnover (P1.T10)43
90.3%
35
9.7%
Q2 - 5:00MIAJames Driving Layup (9 PTS)43
89.1%
35
10.9%
Q2 - 5:04DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)41
87.9%
35
12.1%
Q2 - 5:17MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
86.6%
35
13.4%
Q2 - 5:39DETKnight Foul Turnover (P2.T8)39
85.1%
35
14.9%
Q2 - 5:44DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
83.7%
35
16.3%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot39
84.1%
35
15.9%
Q2 - 6:03DETKnight 10' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
85.1%
35
14.9%
Q2 - 6:13DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
86.2%
33
13.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
86.7%
33
13.3%
Q2 - 6:34DETJerebko 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)39
87.7%
33
12.3%
Q2 - 6:54MIABosh Tip Shot (15 PTS)39
86.3%
33
13.7%
Q2 - 6:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)37
83.9%
33
16.1%
Q2 - 7:03MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
85.1%
33
14.9%
Q2 - 7:04DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot37
84.7%
33
15.3%
Q2 - 7:18MIAMiller 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)37
83.5%
33
16.5%
Q2 - 7:33DETDaye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)35
82.1%
33
17.9%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMiller 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)35
85.0%
30
15.0%
Q2 - 8:02DETKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
83.6%
30
16.4%
Q2 - 8:07DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
82.0%
30
18.0%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 233
82.2%
30
17.8%
Q2 - 8:08MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
83.2%
30
16.8%
Q2 - 8:27DETDaye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)32
82.1%
30
17.9%
Q2 - 8:40MIACole 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)32
84.9%
27
15.1%
Q2 - 9:05DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)30
83.5%
27
16.5%
Q2 - 9:05DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
82.0%
27
18.0%
Q2 - 9:06DETMISS Jerebko 7' Running Jump Shot30
83.1%
27
16.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIACole 7' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
82.0%
27
18.0%
Q2 - 9:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
80.5%
27
19.5%
Q2 - 9:47DETMISS Jerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
80.0%
27
20.0%
Q2 - 9:59DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
78.8%
27
21.2%
Q2 - 10:00DETMISS Knight Free Throw 1 of 128
80.3%
27
19.7%
Q2 - 10:10MIACurry 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)28
81.6%
25
18.4%
Q2 - 10:21DETRussell 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
83.3%
25
16.7%
Q2 - 10:26DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
84.5%
23
15.5%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS Cole Layup28
84.9%
23
15.1%
Q2 - 10:47DETDaye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)28
85.9%
23
14.1%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMiller 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
87.8%
20
12.2%
Q2 - 11:31DETDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)26
86.8%
20
13.2%
Q2 - 11:46MIACole Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
88.9%
17
11.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET24
87.9%
17
12.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
86.7%
17
13.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper24
86.9%
17
13.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETJerebko Layup (2 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)24
87.5%
17
12.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
88.8%
15
11.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0DETMISS Wilkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
89.3%
15
10.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJames 11' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)24
88.8%
15
11.2%
Q1 - 1:00DETWilkins Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)22
87.6%
15
12.4%
Q1 - 1:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
86.7%
15
13.3%
Q1 - 1:10DETMISS Daye 19' Jump Shot22
87.2%
15
12.8%
Q1 - 1:26DETPISTONS Rebound22
86.7%
15
13.3%
Q1 - 1:27DETMISS Daye 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
87.2%
15
12.8%
Q1 - 1:46DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
86.7%
15
13.3%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot22
86.9%
15
13.1%
Q1 - 2:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
87.5%
15
12.5%
Q1 - 2:12DETMISS Jerebko 8' Hook Shot22
87.2%
15
12.8%
Q1 - 2:23DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
86.5%
15
13.5%
Q1 - 2:24DETMISS Jerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
87.2%
15
12.8%
Q1 - 2:46MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)22
86.5%
15
13.5%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
84.1%
15
15.9%
Q1 - 2:54DETMISS Knight 8' Running Jump Shot19
83.8%
15
16.2%
Q1 - 2:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
83.0%
15
17.0%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
83.4%
15
16.6%
Q1 - 3:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
84.5%
15
15.5%
Q1 - 3:07MIAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)19
83.6%
15
16.4%
Q1 - 3:26DETKnight 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)19
84.5%
15
15.5%
Q1 - 3:31MIAAnthony 7' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)19
86.6%
12
13.4%
Q1 - 3:52MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
85.6%
12
14.4%
Q1 - 3:53DETPISTONS Rebound17
84.4%
12
15.6%
Q1 - 3:53DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 217
85.4%
12
14.6%
Q1 - 3:53DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 217
84.6%
12
15.4%
Q1 - 3:59DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
84.4%
12
15.6%
Q1 - 4:01MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)17
84.8%
12
15.2%
Q1 - 4:20DETMonroe Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
85.6%
12
14.4%
Q1 - 4:35MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)17
84.4%
12
15.6%
Q1 - 4:48DETWilkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)15
83.3%
12
16.7%
Q1 - 5:12DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
85.0%
9
15.0%
Q1 - 5:13DETMISS Wilkins 28' 3PT Jump Shot15
85.9%
9
14.1%
Q1 - 5:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
85.0%
9
15.0%
Q1 - 5:19DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup15
85.9%
9
14.1%
Q1 - 5:22DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
85.1%
9
14.9%
Q1 - 5:23DETMISS Knight 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
85.9%
9
14.1%
Q1 - 5:36DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
85.1%
9
14.9%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot15
85.4%
9
14.6%
Q1 - 5:52DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
86.2%
9
13.8%
Q1 - 6:07DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
85.0%
9
15.0%
Q1 - 6:08MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 215
85.2%
9
14.8%
Q1 - 6:08MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
85.8%
9
14.2%
Q1 - 6:22DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)14
85.1%
9
14.9%
Q1 - 6:49MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)14
83.9%
9
16.1%
Q1 - 7:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
83.0%
9
17.0%
Q1 - 7:03DETMISS Wilkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
82.6%
9
17.4%
Q1 - 7:20MIABosh Driving Layup (11 PTS)12
81.7%
9
18.3%
Q1 - 7:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
80.6%
9
19.4%
Q1 - 7:36DETMISS Monroe 13' Jump Shot10
80.2%
9
19.8%
Q1 - 7:51MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 2 AST)10
79.2%
9
20.8%
Q1 - 8:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
78.4%
9
21.6%
Q1 - 8:14DETMISS Monroe Layup8
78.0%
9
22.0%
Q1 - 8:33MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
77.1%
9
22.9%
Q1 - 8:54DETMonroe 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)5
74.2%
9
25.8%
Q1 - 9:14MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
76.3%
7
23.7%
Q1 - 9:31DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)3
74.9%
7
25.1%
Q1 - 9:31DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 23
75.1%
6
24.9%
Q1 - 9:39MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 9:39MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 22
74.6%
6
25.4%
Q1 - 9:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 9:42DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot2
74.5%
6
25.5%
Q1 - 10:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
73.7%
6
26.3%
Q1 - 10:05MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)2
74.2%
6
25.8%
Q1 - 10:23DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wilkins 2 AST)2
75.3%
6
24.7%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMonroe STEAL (1 STL)2
76.4%
4
23.6%
Q1 - 10:56DETKnight Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
77.8%
4
22.2%
Q1 - 11:18MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)2
79.2%
2
20.8%
Q1 - 11:42DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)0
78.0%
2
22.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Anthony: Tip to Monroe0
79.2%
0
20.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
DET
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
28
64%
DET
14
19
74%
Midrange
MIA
14
28
50%
DET
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
DET
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
MIA
22
25
88%
DET
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3259%16.0 / 27
C. Bosh2790%13.5 / 15
M. Chalmers16100%8.0 / 8
M. Miller1063%5.0 / 8
N. Cole945%4.5 / 10
J. Anthony758%3.5 / 6
S. Battier0-0.0 / 3
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 3
E. Curry0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Daye2870%14.0 / 20
G. Monroe2067%10.0 / 15
B. Knight1753%8.5 / 16
R. Stuckey1568%7.5 / 11
D. Wilkins950%4.5 / 9
J. Jerebko750%3.5 / 7
W. Russell2100%1.0 / 1
B. Wallace0-0.0 / 2
J. Maxiell0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+6
-11
82
DET
70
+19
-17
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
DET
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
100.8
MIA 116.1 +3.4
DET 112.6
Pace
91.3
89.5
MIA 90.6 +6.4
DET 84.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.2
MIA 15.9 +1.2
DET 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
46.8%
MIA 55.6% +0.7%
DET 54.9%
TO %
15.9%
16.2%
MIA 11.8% +9.2%
DET 21.0%
ORB %
26.6%
28.1%
MIA 17.1%
DET 41.2% +24.1%
FTrt
30.7
27.9
MIA 35.2 +0.5
DET 34.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
53.8%
MIA 64.9% +12.1%
DET 52.8%
STL %
9.6%
7.7%
MIA 8.0% +2.3%
DET 5.7%
BLK %
9.0%
6.9%
MIA 2.0%
DET 10.7% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
49.5%
MIA 60.1% +5.7%
DET 54.4%
Rim FG%
61.1%
54.5%
MIA 64.3%
DET 73.7% +9.4%
Mid FG%
40.0%
37.3%
MIA 50.0% +1.6%
DET 48.4%
3P %
35.9%
34.6%
MIA 33.3% +1.5%
DET 31.8%
FT %
77.5%
75.2%
MIA 88.0% +12.0%
DET 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
40.5%
MIA 39.4% +13.0%
DET 26.4%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
42.0%
MIA 39.4% +3.6%
DET 43.1%
3P Att. %
19.8%
17.5%
MIA 21.1%
DET 30.6% +9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes23.124.8
Points10198
Rebounds2643
Assists2419
Steals75
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)17 (5)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (0)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (1)29 (1)
Field Goals37-7136-72
At-the-Rim FG18-2814-19
Midrange FG14-2815-31
2-Point FG32-5629-50
3-Point FG5-157-22
Free Throws22-2519-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
41.6
32
59%
6
7
2
0
4
3
1
5
13-14
93%
8-17
47%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
36.5
27
90%
6
4
1
0
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
11-14
79%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
28.2
16
100%
3
4
1
0
2
4
0
3
3-3
100%
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
G · 6'8" 220 · 33
27.7
0
0%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
26.5
7
58%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
25.9
10
63%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
20.9
9
45%
2
4
2
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
20.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
3
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
G · 6'4" 190 · 24
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
#32 · C · 6'11" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
60%
26
24
7
1
11
0
6
20
22-25
88%
32-56
57%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.