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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks38%96105
10Rockets62%10099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.3
33.3
35.3
20
56%
0
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-9
5-11
22%
44%
4-7
57%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.4
19.9
22.2
8
44%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
2-5
40%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.4
18.3
24.8
6
50%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
17.2
20.4
2
33%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.2
9.5
28.5
3
31%
4
0
0
1
3
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
5-10
25%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.8
29.7
27.0
20
59%
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.4
28.1
17.4
18
71%
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
28.1
17.5
11
62%
2
2
3
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
28.0
23.4
7
44%
19
0
0
1
1
3
5
14
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
14.7
11.7
6
47%
1
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
52%
1-2
50%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.2
8.0
4.1
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
2.8
7.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.7
2.5
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.9
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.8
42.6
37.9
8
23%
8
10
0
2
1
2
0
8
2-4
50%
0-7
4-8
0%
46%
2-9
22%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
36.4
27.2
16
52%
8
5
2
1
2
0
2
6
2-3
67%
7-12
2-5
58%
49%
0-2
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.0
36.0
34.3
29
66%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
7-10
5-10
70%
47%
5-12
42%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.7
35.9
28.7
18
68%
8
0
0
1
1
1
3
5
4-5
80%
7-11
6-12
64%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
29.9
28.3
13
56%
17
0
0
1
2
4
6
11
5-6
83%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
24.6
20.0
4
29%
5
4
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
20.0
23.5
7
32%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
1-6
17%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
14.7
20.5
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
9.1
0
1-3
49%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.7
8.8
0
1-2
49%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
4.2
0
0-1
42%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.0
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.0
1.9
0
0-1
45%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.9
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.