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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hawks43%9483
11Spurs57%97105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
30.9
35.4
10
42%
0
7
0
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
5-11
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
30.7
35.3
13
36%
5
1
2
1
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
6-16
6-13
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
29.4
34.8
20
72%
5
0
3
2
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
8-10
4-9
80%
47%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
27.2
22.1
8
67%
9
1
0
1
1
2
1
8
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.0
26.7
29.1
5
51%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
21.3
13.3
8
58%
3
2
1
0
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
17.3
10.6
2
35%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
17.1
13.4
3
30%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
15.2
20.4
2
25%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.1
13.1
23.6
7
88%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.3
5.5
9.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
5.5
2.6
5
63%
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
8.3
0
0-1
44%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.8
30.6
21.2
17
66%
3
3
2
1
0
6
1
2
1-2
50%
8-12
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.6
29.8
21.1
8
57%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.7
29.6
35.3
15
49%
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-5
60%
3-9
7-15
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.6
27.0
30.6
8
40%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
2-6
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.8
21.6
24.9
6
40%
11
2
0
1
0
1
2
9
0-1
0%
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
26.7
23.9
10
56%
5
5
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
2-6
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.1
20.3
22.7
16
88%
8
2
0
1
1
2
2
6
6-7
86%
5-6
3-6
83%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.8
19.1
20.6
17
85%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
5-7
71%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
18.4
9.0
8
67%
2
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-1
67%
42%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.3
8.1
21.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.8
4.4
6.5
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
4.4
1.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.8
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.