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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Nuggets76%108122
27Kings24%9993
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
34.5
34.5
23
79%
3
5
0
1
3
1
0
3
6-6
100%
7-10
4-7
70%
51%
1-2
50%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.9
32.1
31.0
15
79%
4
10
2
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
48%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.4
25.5
26.8
16
74%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
6-9
5-8
67%
57%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.9
23.5
6.3
10
57%
7
2
1
0
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
50%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.2
15.1
36.5
11
94%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
5-10
75%
53%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.9
31.6
16.5
15
37%
3
0
3
1
1
2
2
1
1-3
33%
7-15
2-4
47%
46%
0-4
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.9
23.6
27.4
10
40%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
5-9
3-7
56%
52%
0-3
0%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
20.3
0.9
6
50%
5
2
2
0
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
44%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
17.2
12.7
9
101%
5
0
2
0
1
0
4
1
1-1
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.2
11.4
2.4
5
47%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
1-3
33%
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
5.3
3.0
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
33.6
1
4-7
51%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.8
12.2
1
1-2
47%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.5
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
37.1
34.5
12
41%
0
7
1
1
0
4
0
0
3-4
75%
3-9
5-12
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.9
36.5
20.0
19
68%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
41%
5-8
63%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.5
33.5
31.5
17
50%
15
0
1
1
1
3
4
11
1-2
50%
8-16
6-13
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.5
29.3
24.7
9
80%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
5-6
83%
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.1
24.1
19.3
5
42%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.0
30.1
20.4
16
74%
2
6
0
1
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
39%
2-3
67%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.4
16.1
19.9
6
43%
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.9
12.7
21.3
5
43%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
12.6
20.1
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.4
4.2
8.5
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.5
3.9
1.7
2
41%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
18.8
1
2-5
47%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.6
5.7
0
1-1
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.