Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Nuggets	76%	108	122	131.2	93	89.3
	27	Kings	24%	99	93	98.9	94	98.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	34.5	23	82%	3	5	0	3	1	1	0	3	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	32.1	15	83%	4	10	2	0	2	2	1	3	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	25.5	16	73%	4	3	0	1	0	0	0	4	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	23.5	10	56%	7	2	1	0	1	5	1	6	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	15.1	11	92%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%

Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	31.6	15	38%	3	0	3	1	2	3	2	1	1-3	33%	7-15	47%	0-4	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	23.6	10	42%	5	4	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	20.3	6	50%	5	2	2	1	4	3	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	17.2	9	113%	5	0	2	1	0	1	4	1	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	11.4	5	50%	6	0	0	1	0	2	3	3	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	5.3	2	25%	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	\| DND - right groin strain
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Timofey Mozgov #25 · C · 7'1" 275 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DeMarre Carroll #0 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	48	29	10	8	13	0	17	31	20-25	80%	48-78	62%	2-13	15%

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1 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	34.5	23	82%	3	5	0	3	1	1	0	3	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	32.1	15	83%	4	10	2	0	2	2	1	3	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	25.5	16	73%	4	3	0	1	0	0	0	4	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	23.5	10	56%	7	2	1	0	1	5	1	6	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	15.1	11	92%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%

Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	31.6	15	38%	3	0	3	1	2	3	2	1	1-3	33%	7-15	47%	0-4	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	23.6	10	42%	5	4	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	20.3	6	50%	5	2	2	1	4	3	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	17.2	9	113%	5	0	2	1	0	1	4	1	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	11.4	5	50%	6	0	0	1	0	2	3	3	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	5.3	2	25%	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	\| DND - right groin strain
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Timofey Mozgov #25 · C · 7'1" 275 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DeMarre Carroll #0 · F · 6'8" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	48	29	10	8	13	0	17	31	20-25	80%	48-78	62%	2-13	15%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyreke Evans G · 6'6" 220 · 22	37.1	12	43%	0	7	1	0	4	4	0	0	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	1-4	25%
Jimmer Fredette G · 6'2" 195 · 23	36.5	19	73%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	5-8	63%
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 21	33.5	17	50%	15	0	1	1	3	5	4	11	1-2	50%	8-16	50%	0-0	-
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 26	29.3	9	75%	5	0	0	1	1	2	3	2	5-6	83%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 32	24.1	5	42%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 23	30.1	16	73%	2	6	0	0	2	2	2	0	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23	16.1	6	43%	3	0	1	1	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Donte Greene F · 6'11" 226 · 24	12.7	5	42%	6	1	0	1	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30	12.6	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 27	4.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyler Honeycutt F · 6'8" 188 · 22	3.9	2	50%	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29	\| DND - dislocated left shoulder
Hassan Whiteside #33 · C · 7'0" 265 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	35	19	7	4	16	0	12	23	16-22	73%	25-58	43%	9-20	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 59.8%

SAC

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

38

53

72%

SAC

15

26

58%

Midrange

DEN

10

25

40%

SAC

10

32

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

2

3.0

13

15%

23%

SAC

9

13.5

20

45%

68%

Free Throws

DEN

20

25

80%

SAC

16

22

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	23	82%	11.5 / 14
Nene	16	73%	8.0 / 11
A. Miller	15	83%	7.5 / 9
C. Brewer	15	38%	7.5 / 20
T. Lawson	11	92%	5.5 / 6
K. Koufos	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Harrington	10	42%	5.0 / 12
C. Andersen	9	113%	4.5 / 4
J. Stone	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Faried	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Hamilton	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Fredette	19	73%	9.5 / 13
D. Cousins	17	50%	8.5 / 17
I. Thomas	16	73%	8.0 / 11
T. Evans	12	43%	6.0 / 14
J. Thompson	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Hickson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Salmons	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Greene	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Outlaw	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Honeycutt	2	50%	1.0 / 2
F. Garcia	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 109.3 18 104.2	DEN 131.2 +32.2 SAC 98.9
Pace	2 94.1 1 94.4	DEN 89.3 SAC 98.0 +8.7
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.6 28 15.0	DEN 16.1 SAC 14.7 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.6% 27 47.2%	DEN 56.0% +6.6% SAC 49.4%
TO %	20 15.7% 8 14.6%	DEN 12.1% −4.9% SAC 17.0%
ORB %	13 27.7% 7 29.1%	DEN 42.5% +14.6% SAC 27.9%
FTrt	2 32.6 18 26.8	DEN 27.5 SAC 28.2 +0.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.5% 29 51.0%	DEN 58.0% +2.1% SAC 55.9%
STL %	15 8.6% 6 8.9%	DEN 10.8% +3.4% SAC 7.4%
BLK %	16 8.1% 22 7.4%	DEN 13.8% +8.7% SAC 5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 25 49.8%	DEN 59.8% +9.3% SAC 50.5%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 23 56.2%	DEN 71.7% +14.0% SAC 57.7%
Mid FG%	14 39.3% 28 35.8%	DEN 40.0% +8.7% SAC 31.3%
3P %	24 33.2% 29 31.6%	DEN 15.4% SAC 45.0% +29.6%
FT %	24 73.6% 25 73.6%	DEN 80.0% +7.3% SAC 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 48.0% 2 42.9%	DEN 58.2% +24.9% SAC 33.3%
Mid Att. %	1 27.7% 4 34.3%	DEN 27.5% −13.6% SAC 41.0%
3P Att. %	12 24.3% 16 22.8%	DEN 14.3% SAC 25.6% +11.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	DEN	SAC
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	122	93
Rebounds	48	35
Assists	29	19
Steals	10	7
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (4)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	23 (1)
Field Goals	50-91	34-78
At-the-Rim FG	38-53	15-26
Midrange FG	10-25	10-32
2-Point FG	48-78	25-58
3-Point FG	2-13	9-20
Free Throws	20-25	16-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg