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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Trail Blazers53%10093
20Warriors47%99101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
36.8
32.9
18
48%
7
5
1
1
1
4
1
6
4-4
100%
7-16
8-16
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
32.3
29.7
6
32%
6
3
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-1
0%
3-8
4-7
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
30.4
31.2
15
76%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
3-4
75%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.6
30.1
31.9
5
25%
0
7
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
46%
1-4
25%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
23.5
22.0
4
67%
16
2
1
1
0
0
5
11
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.8
29.2
24.0
16
54%
2
3
0
1
0
6
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-8
25%
44%
4-10
40%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
22.6
23.2
16
72%
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
2
6-7
86%
5-7
2-4
71%
51%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.3
16.0
14.6
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.2
13.9
15.5
9
46%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
3-8
3-5
38%
55%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
5.1
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
2.5
0
0-1
46%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.5
2.4
0
0-0
47%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.0
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
41.3
35.5
4
22%
2
12
3
2
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
6-13
29%
48%
0-2
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
37.9
31.7
32
79%
6
7
4
1
0
1
0
6
2-3
67%
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
6-8
75%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
37.7
34.7
26
56%
5
3
1
1
0
3
3
2
2-5
40%
12-21
7-13
57%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.1
20.4
30.5
10
56%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
15.3
18.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.6
27.6
23.0
14
79%
6
1
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
3-3
100%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
26.6
17.8
4
67%
7
2
2
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.7
14.8
18.5
4
41%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
7.9
14.6
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.6
7.1
0.3
5
87%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
3.5
12.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.9
6.7
0
1-2
43%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 30.4
2.3
0
0-1
39%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.3
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.