FinalWin Prob.pScore
149%96
89
1151%97
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.58689.3
ORL logo ORL
115.98884.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHoward STEAL (3 STL)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25ORLMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAWade 11' Fadeaway Bank Shot (33 PTS)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (25 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:17)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:51ORLAnderson 1' Layup (27 PTS)82
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:52ORLMISS Nelson 1' Driving Layup82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:09ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 3:21ORLRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)82
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 3:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)81
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 3:54ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 3:59ORLMAGIC Rebound80
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q4 - 4:00ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 4:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:16)80
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 4:06ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 4:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:16)80
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper80
3.0%
89
97.0%
Q4 - 4:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 4:33ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q4 - 4:51MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 10 AST)80
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 5:08ORLNelson 7' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)78
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q4 - 5:31MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q4 - 5:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
4.0%
87
96.0%
Q4 - 5:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 5:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot76
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 6:04MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (29 PTS)76
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 6:19ORLRedick 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)74
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 6:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)74
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 6:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 6:51ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 7:07MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 8 AST)71
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 7:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 7:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 3' Driving Layup69
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 7:42MIABattier 12' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 7:56ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)67
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 8:23MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)67
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 8:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 8:36ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot65
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 8:44MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)65
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 8:57ORLRedick 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)65
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 9:23MIAHaslem 1' Layup (2 PTS)65
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 9:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Cole 10' Jump Shot63
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 9:41ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)63
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 9:47ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot63
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q4 - 10:00MIAHeat Rebound63
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 10:01ORLMISS Redick 28' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 10:31MIACole 10' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 10:51ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (23 PTS)61
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 11:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:15)61
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot61
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q4 - 11:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q4 - 11:21ORLMISS Davis 10' Jump Shot61
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q4 - 11:35MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)61
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL61
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)61
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Bosh 2' Tip Shot61
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot61
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 261
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)61
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAPittman 1' Dunk (2 PTS)61
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS James 3' Layup59
3.1%
76
96.9%
Q3 - 1:04ORLDuhon 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)59
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 1:33MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)59
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 1:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)56
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 1:57MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 2:14ORLDavis 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)56
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 2:31MIARichardson STEAL (3 STL)56
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 2:43ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)56
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 2:43ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 2:56MIARichardson STEAL (2 STL)56
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 3:18ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)56
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 3:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)56
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot56
9.0%
69
91.0%
Q3 - 3:39ORLHoward 7' Hook Bank Shot (20 PTS)56
10.1%
69
89.9%
Q3 - 3:55MIARichardson STEAL (1 STL)56
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 4:08ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)56
14.8%
67
85.2%
Q3 - 4:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)56
19.2%
64
80.8%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
20.1%
64
79.9%
Q3 - 4:44ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)56
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q3 - 4:44ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 256
23.6%
63
76.4%
Q3 - 4:51ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 4:53ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 4:58ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot56
23.1%
63
76.9%
Q3 - 5:17ORLHoward 8' Running Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)56
26.2%
63
73.8%
Q3 - 5:37ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
29.1%
61
70.9%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
30.3%
61
69.7%
Q3 - 5:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
33.1%
61
66.9%
Q3 - 5:48ORLMISS Anderson 14' Fadeaway Jumper56
31.8%
61
68.2%
Q3 - 6:12MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)56
29.9%
61
70.1%
Q3 - 6:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
26.9%
61
73.1%
Q3 - 6:24ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
25.9%
61
74.1%
Q3 - 6:33ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)54
23.6%
61
76.4%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot54
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q3 - 6:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
26.9%
61
73.1%
Q3 - 6:43ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
25.8%
61
74.2%
Q3 - 6:52ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)54
23.6%
61
76.4%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot54
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q3 - 7:12ORLNelson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)54
27.4%
61
72.6%
Q3 - 7:27ORLMAGIC Rebound54
30.4%
59
69.6%
Q3 - 7:29ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 7:48MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)54
30.4%
59
69.6%
Q3 - 7:58ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P2.T13)54
34.0%
59
66.0%
Q3 - 8:08ORLAnderson Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)54
30.8%
59
69.2%
Q3 - 8:20ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
34.1%
58
65.9%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot54
35.2%
58
64.8%
Q3 - 8:43ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T12)54
37.8%
58
62.2%
Q3 - 8:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)54
34.1%
58
65.9%
Q3 - 8:46ORLMISS Nelson 2' Driving Layup54
36.6%
58
63.4%
Q3 - 8:56MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)54
34.1%
58
65.9%
Q3 - 9:11ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
37.9%
58
62.1%
Q3 - 9:11ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
39.2%
57
60.8%
Q3 - 9:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)54
41.3%
56
58.7%
Q3 - 9:13ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot54
43.9%
56
56.1%
Q3 - 9:36MIACole 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)54
41.3%
56
58.7%
Q3 - 9:41ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)52
37.9%
56
62.1%
Q3 - 10:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)52
34.9%
56
65.1%
Q3 - 10:03MIAMISS James 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot52
36.0%
56
64.0%
Q3 - 10:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q3 - 10:17ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q3 - 10:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)52
34.9%
56
65.1%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot52
35.9%
56
64.1%
Q3 - 10:59ORLRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)52
38.4%
56
61.6%
Q3 - 11:15MIACole 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (James 6 AST)52
45.5%
53
54.5%
Q3 - 11:29MIAHeat Rebound50
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup50
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q3 - 11:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q3 - 11:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q3 - 11:30MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)50
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q3 - 11:31MIAMISS Bosh 2' Alley Oop Layup50
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q3 - 11:45ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)50
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL50
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound50
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Howard 81' 3PT Jump Shot50
41.2%
53
58.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)50
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 250
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 250
42.4%
53
57.6%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
42.2%
53
57.8%
Q2 - 0:10.0ORLMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot50
41.5%
53
58.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
39.8%
53
60.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
40.6%
53
59.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)50
42.2%
53
57.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)50
39.8%
53
60.2%
Q2 - 1:00ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)48
35.9%
53
64.1%
Q2 - 1:27MIAWade 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)48
34.1%
53
65.9%
Q2 - 1:36ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)46
30.4%
53
69.6%
Q2 - 1:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)46
28.6%
53
71.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
29.1%
53
70.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
31.3%
53
68.7%
Q2 - 2:14ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
30.5%
53
69.5%
Q2 - 2:32MIAWade 1' Layup (18 PTS)46
28.7%
53
71.3%
Q2 - 2:39MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q2 - 2:40ORLMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot44
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q2 - 2:43ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
23.8%
53
76.2%
Q2 - 2:45ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot44
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q2 - 3:07MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (16 PTS)44
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q2 - 3:17ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)42
22.4%
53
77.6%
Q2 - 3:17ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)42
22.7%
52
77.3%
Q2 - 3:17ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)42
24.3%
51
75.7%
Q2 - 3:18ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot42
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q2 - 3:41MIAWade 11' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
24.3%
51
75.7%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q2 - 3:49ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q2 - 4:11MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (James 5 AST)40
20.6%
51
79.4%
Q2 - 4:26ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)38
18.9%
51
81.1%
Q2 - 4:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)38
22.6%
48
77.4%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 4:52ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)38
25.0%
48
75.0%
Q2 - 4:52ORLAnderson 1' Tip Shot (19 PTS)38
25.0%
48
75.0%
Q2 - 4:54ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)38
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 4:54ORLMISS Anderson 1' Tip Shot38
28.9%
46
71.1%
Q2 - 4:56ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot38
28.9%
46
71.1%
Q2 - 5:19MIAJames 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)38
27.9%
46
72.1%
Q2 - 5:27MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
25.6%
46
74.4%
Q2 - 5:28ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 5:48MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
23.5%
46
76.5%
Q2 - 5:59ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)33
19.5%
46
80.5%
Q2 - 6:17MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)33
21.9%
44
78.1%
Q2 - 6:17MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)32
21.6%
44
78.4%
Q2 - 6:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
20.4%
44
79.6%
Q2 - 6:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
19.8%
44
80.2%
Q2 - 6:44MIAWade 2' Layup (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)31
18.3%
44
81.7%
Q2 - 6:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
17.0%
44
83.0%
Q2 - 6:50ORLMISS Duhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
16.4%
44
83.6%
Q2 - 7:06MIAJames 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)29
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 7:12ORLAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)27
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 7:14ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 7:16ORLMISS Redick 3' Layup27
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 7:38ORLMAGIC Rebound27
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot27
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 7:57ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)27
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 8:12MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 8:36ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)25
16.8%
41
83.2%
Q2 - 8:43ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19.9%
38
80.1%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot25
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 9:03ORLDavis 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)25
22.3%
38
77.7%
Q2 - 9:21MIAWade 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)25
24.0%
36
76.0%
Q2 - 9:34ORLAnderson 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)23
22.2%
36
77.8%
Q2 - 9:45ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
24.0%
34
76.0%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot23
24.6%
34
75.4%
Q2 - 10:10ORLRedick 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)23
26.3%
34
73.7%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMiller 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)23
30.2%
31
69.8%
Q2 - 10:48ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)20
26.3%
31
73.7%
Q2 - 10:48ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)20
26.5%
30
73.5%
Q2 - 11:12MIABosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)20
28.4%
29
71.6%
Q2 - 11:37ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)18
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
30.4%
26
69.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLDuhon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)18
32.7%
26
67.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)18
31.2%
26
68.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)15
25.3%
26
74.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS James 3' Layup15
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)15
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
31.1%
23
68.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
30.7%
23
69.3%
Q1 - 1:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
29.3%
23
70.7%
Q1 - 1:05ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.9%
23
71.1%
Q1 - 1:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)13
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot13
28.3%
23
71.7%
Q1 - 1:20ORLDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
29.3%
23
70.7%
Q1 - 1:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)13
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.3%
23
71.7%
Q1 - 1:50ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)13
29.2%
23
70.8%
Q1 - 1:50ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)13
30.0%
22
70.0%
Q1 - 2:04MIAJames 4' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
32.1%
21
67.9%
Q1 - 2:22MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
29.9%
21
70.1%
Q1 - 2:23ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 211
29.7%
21
70.3%
Q1 - 2:23ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)11
28.7%
21
71.3%
Q1 - 2:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)11
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Pittman Free Throw 2 of 211
30.3%
20
69.7%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Pittman Free Throw 1 of 211
31.5%
20
68.5%
Q1 - 2:44MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
31.9%
20
68.1%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Reverse Layup11
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q1 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
31.8%
20
68.2%
Q1 - 3:00ORLMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup11
31.3%
20
68.7%
Q1 - 3:06MIARichardson STEAL (1 STL)11
30.3%
20
69.7%
Q1 - 3:27ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)11
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 3:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)11
36.3%
17
63.7%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot11
36.9%
17
63.1%
Q1 - 4:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
38.5%
17
61.5%
Q1 - 4:01ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 211
38.3%
17
61.7%
Q1 - 4:01ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 211
36.8%
17
63.2%
Q1 - 4:03ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
36.4%
17
63.6%
Q1 - 4:04ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
37.9%
17
62.1%
Q1 - 4:20ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
36.4%
17
63.6%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup11
37.0%
17
63.0%
Q1 - 4:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)11
38.6%
17
61.4%
Q1 - 4:44ORLHoward 3' Putback Layup (8 PTS)11
38.6%
17
61.4%
Q1 - 4:44ORLMISS Nelson 1' Layup11
42.1%
15
57.9%
Q1 - 4:48MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)11
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 4:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
42.9%
15
57.1%
Q1 - 4:55ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
42.1%
15
57.9%
Q1 - 5:03ORLMAGIC Rebound11
40.7%
15
59.3%
Q1 - 5:05ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot11
42.2%
15
57.8%
Q1 - 5:19MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)11
40.6%
15
59.4%
Q1 - 5:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)9
38.8%
15
61.2%
Q1 - 5:42ORLHoward 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)9
38.8%
15
61.2%
Q1 - 5:44ORLMISS Anderson 2' Layup9
42.2%
13
57.8%
Q1 - 5:51MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)9
40.6%
13
59.4%
Q1 - 6:13ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)9
43.0%
13
57.0%
Q1 - 6:21MIACole Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)9
44.9%
11
55.1%
Q1 - 6:25ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
47.1%
11
52.9%
Q1 - 6:38MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
44.9%
11
55.1%
Q1 - 6:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
43.0%
11
57.0%
Q1 - 6:57ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
40.9%
11
59.1%
Q1 - 6:57ORLMISS Anderson 1' Tip Shot7
42.3%
11
57.7%
Q1 - 6:58ORLMISS Anderson 2' Layup7
42.3%
11
57.7%
Q1 - 7:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
41.2%
11
58.8%
Q1 - 7:06ORLMISS Richardson 14' Jump Shot7
42.7%
11
57.3%
Q1 - 7:28MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
41.2%
11
58.8%
Q1 - 7:43ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)7
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 8:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
47.3%
8
52.7%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 26
46.9%
8
53.1%
Q1 - 8:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
47.3%
8
52.7%
Q1 - 8:10ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 26
47.0%
8
53.0%
Q1 - 8:10ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 8:34MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
47.3%
7
52.7%
Q1 - 8:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
45.3%
7
54.7%
Q1 - 8:57ORLMISS Richardson 7' Jump Shot4
44.8%
7
55.2%
Q1 - 9:16MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
44.0%
7
56.0%
Q1 - 9:21ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
42.1%
7
57.9%
Q1 - 9:36MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
40.3%
7
59.7%
Q1 - 9:59ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)0
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 10:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
40.6%
5
59.4%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup0
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 10:28ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)0
42.6%
5
57.4%
Q1 - 10:35ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 10:36MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
47.9%
2
52.1%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Anthony 2' Tip Shot0
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot0
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 10:52ORLHoward 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
47.9%
2
52.1%
Q1 - 10:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
49.4%
0
50.6%
Q1 - 10:58ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 11:11ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot0
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 11:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 11:32ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
50.6%
0
49.4%
Q1 - 11:42ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot0
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Anthony: Tip to Cole0
51.1%
0
48.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
ORL
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
28
57%
ORL
11
25
44%
Midrange
MIA
15
33
45%
ORL
7
16
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
ORL
17
25.5
42
40%
61%
Free Throws
MIA
12
17
71%
ORL
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3366%16.5 / 25
L. James1743%8.5 / 20
C. Bosh1243%6.0 / 14
N. Cole956%4.5 / 8
S. Battier880%4.0 / 5
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
J. Jones3150%1.5 / 1
U. Haslem225%1.0 / 4
D. Pittman233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Anderson2759%13.5 / 23
D. Howard2566%12.5 / 19
J. Nelson1246%6.0 / 13
J. Redick1155%5.5 / 10
J. Richardson938%4.5 / 12
G. Davis675%3.0 / 4
Q. Richardson675%3.0 / 4
H. Turkoglu325%1.5 / 6
C. Duhon375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+10
-12
84
ORL
74
+22
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
ORL
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.1
MIA 103.5
ORL 115.9 +12.4
Pace
91.3
88.9
MIA 89.3 +4.4
ORL 84.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.3
MIA 16.1 +0.8
ORL 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
50.6%
MIA 50.7%
ORL 52.4% +1.7%
TO %
15.9%
15.7%
MIA 13.5% +1.3%
ORL 14.8%
ORB %
26.6%
26.5%
MIA 22.5%
ORL 37.0% +14.5%
FTrt
30.7
29.2
MIA 22.4
ORL 25.3 +2.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
58.1%
MIA 55.6%
ORL 68.6% +13.0%
STL %
9.6%
7.6%
MIA 11.6% +2.5%
ORL 9.1%
BLK %
9.0%
6.7%
MIA 14.6% +11.3%
ORL 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.6%
MIA 51.1%
ORL 52.6% +1.5%
Rim FG%
61.1%
57.7%
MIA 57.1% +13.1%
ORL 44.0%
Mid FG%
40.0%
34.8%
MIA 45.5% +1.7%
ORL 43.8%
3P %
35.9%
37.5%
MIA 33.3%
ORL 40.5% +7.2%
FT %
77.5%
66.0%
MIA 70.6%
ORL 71.4% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
36.4%
MIA 36.8% +6.7%
ORL 30.1%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
29.0%
MIA 43.4%
ORL 19.3% +24.1%
3P Att. %
19.8%
34.6%
MIA 19.7%
ORL 50.6% +30.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points89102
Rebounds3848
Assists2024
Steals108
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)31 (1)
Field Goals36-7635-83
At-the-Rim FG16-2811-25
Midrange FG15-337-16
2-Point FG31-6118-41
3-Point FG5-1517-42
Free Throws12-1715-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
39.3
17
43%
6
10
3
0
3
0
0
6
7-10
70%
5-13
38%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
37.3
12
43%
9
0
1
1
1
3
3
6
2-2
100%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
35.6
33
66%
2
2
1
3
2
1
0
2
3-3
100%
15-22
68%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
31.3
9
56%
2
4
0
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
15.9
0
0%
5
0
1
2
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
25.3
8
80%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
23.0
2
25%
7
1
1
0
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
17.4
3
50%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
10.8
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
5
3
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
1.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 190 · 24
1.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
#15 · G · 6'2" 190 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
51%
38
20
10
6
12
0
9
29
12-17
71%
31-61
51%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.