Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, February 8, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bucks | 54% | 96 | 105 |
 | 27 | Raptors | 46% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Knicks | 68% | 100 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Heat | 49% | 96 | 89 |
 | 11 | Magic | 51% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 35% | 95 | 99 |
| 23 | Nets | 65% | 100 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Timberwolves | 33% | 94 | 80 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Bulls | 77% | 95 | 90 |
| 25 | Hornets | 23% | 85 | 67 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Mavericks | 44% | 99 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, February 7, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Pacers | 71% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 12% | 82 | 84 |
 | 10 | Celtics | 88% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 15% | 93 | 91 |
| 1 | Heat | 85% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Bucks | 64% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Timberwolves | 75% | 106 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Thunder | 56% | 103 | 119 |
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Monday, February 6, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Lakers | 45% | 92 | 90 |
| 11 | 76ers | 55% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 46% | 95 | 108 |
| 29 | Wizards | 54% | 96 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 46% | 96 | 107 |
| 12 | Magic | 54% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bulls | 70% | 101 | 108 |
| 23 | Nets | 30% | 94 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 38% | 97 | 88 |
| 17 | Knicks | 62% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 34% | 93 | 99 |
| 14 | Hawks | 66% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 52% | 95 | 89 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 48% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 43% | 92 | 100 |
| 25 | Hornets | 57% | 94 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 32% | 100 | 99 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 68% | 107 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 43% | 97 | 111 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 100 | 107 |
Sunday, February 5, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 43% | 88 | 80 |
| 10 | Celtics | 57% | 91 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 12% | 89 | 89 |
| 1 | Heat | 88% | 104 | 95 |
Saturday, February 4, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 77% | 105 | 107 |
| 28 | Wizards | 23% | 95 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 44% | 91 | 98 |
| 17 | Hawks | 56% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 44% | 93 | 85 |
| 14 | Pacers | 56% | 95 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 31% | 98 | 92 | |
| 15 | Knicks | 69% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 57% | 93 | 87 | |
| 29 | Pistons | 43% | 91 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 68% | 101 | 88 |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 32% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 43% | 101 | 91 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 57% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bulls | 62% | 96 | 113 |
| 18 | Bucks | 38% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 46% | 98 | 96 |
| 10 | Spurs | 54% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 53% | 97 | 87 |
| 21 | Jazz | 47% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 24% | 91 | 89 |
| 22 | Suns | 76% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 57% | 102 | 106 |
| 26 | Kings | 43% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 37% | 99 | 97 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 103 | 117 |
Friday, February 3, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 45% | 94 | 89 |
| 27 | Raptors | 55% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 53% | 96 | 99 |
| 10 | 76ers | 47% | 95 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 22% | 92 | 94 |
| 9 | Magic | 78% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 49% | 101 | 108 |
| 23 | Nets | 51% | 102 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 70% | 99 | 80 |
| 29 | Pistons | 30% | 92 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 34% | 90 | 89 |
| 13 | Celtics | 66% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 37% | 98 | 81 |
| 14 | Rockets | 63% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 28% | 92 | 94 |
| 2 | Thunder | 72% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 32% | 91 | 98 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 68% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 43% | 98 | 93 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 57% | 100 | 89 |
Thursday, February 2, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 42% | 90 | 96 |
| 12 | Hawks | 58% | 93 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bulls | 55% | 97 | 105 |
| 18 | Knicks | 45% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 22% | 88 | 81 | |
| 11 | Spurs | 78% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 101 | 92 |
| 26 | Kings | 30% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 43% | 103 | 112 |
| 3 | Clippers | 57% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 42% | 99 | 101 |
| 22 | Warriors | 58% | 101 | 119 |
Wednesday, February 1, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bulls | 51% | 93 | 82 |
| 9 | 76ers | 49% | 92 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 22% | 88 | 103 |
| 11 | Magic | 78% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 24% | 84 | 64 |
| 15 | Celtics | 76% | 93 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 29% | 94 | 96 |
| 23 | Nets | 71% | 101 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 62% | 100 | 97 |
| 17 | Bucks | 38% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 51% | 94 | 120 |
| 25 | Hornets | 49% | 93 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 46% | 97 | 95 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 54% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 42% | 96 | 109 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 58% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 37% | 97 | 91 |
| 10 | Spurs | 63% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 8% | 84 | 68 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 92% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 60% | 102 | 107 |
| 20 | Jazz | 40% | 98 | 105 |
Tuesday, January 31, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 65% | 95 | 100 |
| 26 | Raptors | 35% | 90 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 65% | 95 | 93 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 35% | 90 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 30% | 93 | 99 | |
| 15 | Pacers | 70% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 21% | 92 | 86 |
| 18 | Knicks | 79% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 57% | 99 | 97 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 43% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 11% | 85 | 73 |
| 5 | Lakers | 89% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 29% | 97 | 90 |
| 21 | Warriors | 71% | 105 | 93 |
Monday, January 30, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 34% | 89 | 69 |
| 9 | 76ers | 66% | 94 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bulls | 75% | 99 | 98 |
| 27 | Wizards | 25% | 90 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 14% | 85 | 95 | |
| 1 | Heat | 86% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 25% | 91 | 82 |
| 17 | Bucks | 75% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 38% | 94 | 83 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 62% | 98 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 30% | 97 | 120 |
| 13 | Rockets | 70% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 100 | 89 |
| 20 | Jazz | 42% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 51% | 98 | 122 |
| 19 | Suns | 49% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 47% | 99 | 100 |
| 5 | Clippers | 53% | 101 | 112 |
Sunday, January 29, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bulls | 40% | 94 | 93 |
| 1 | Heat | 60% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 29% | 88 | 88 |
| 16 | Celtics | 71% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 35% | 94 | 94 |
| 23 | Nets | 65% | 99 | 73 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 39% | 91 | 106 |
| 9 | Magic | 61% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 41% | 94 | 100 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 59% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 59% | 92 | 94 |
| 24 | Hornets | 41% | 89 | 72 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 55% | 97 | 106 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 45% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 37% | 100 | 109 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 63% | 104 | 105 |
Saturday, January 28, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 19% | 88 | 74 |
| 10 | 76ers | 81% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 51% | 95 | 102 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 49% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 38% | 96 | 84 |
| 14 | Rockets | 62% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 61% | 97 | 89 |
| 17 | Bucks | 39% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 29% | 95 | 93 |
| 18 | Jazz | 71% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 55% | 98 | 84 |
| 19 | Suns | 45% | 96 | 86 |
Friday, January 27, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 13% | 86 | 72 |
| 7 | 76ers | 87% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 51% | 88 | 87 |
| 17 | Celtics | 49% | 87 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 68% | 96 | 107 |
| 27 | Pistons | 32% | 89 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 47% | 100 | 99 | |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 53% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 23% | 93 | 89 |
| 1 | Heat | 77% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 27% | 91 | 100 |
| 4 | Bulls | 73% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 55% | 91 | 67 |
| 25 | Hornets | 45% | 89 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 24% | 92 | 76 |
| 12 | Rockets | 76% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 55% | 99 | 79 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 45% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 33% | 91 | 101 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 67% | 97 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 21% | 93 | 81 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 79% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 31% | 95 | 71 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 61% | 102 | 120 |
| 18 | Warriors | 39% | 98 | 109 |
Thursday, January 26, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 30% | 85 | 91 |
| 6 | Magic | 70% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 43% | 96 | 91 |
| 9 | Clippers | 57% | 98 | 98 |