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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Rockets31%96103
4Trail Blazers69%10396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
31.9
23.1
7
44%
8
3
2
1
1
0
1
7
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.8
26.3
31.0
12
75%
2
2
0
1
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
6-8
7-14
75%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.9
25.3
32.7
12
60%
2
5
3
1
1
6
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
18.3
15.6
2
20%
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.0
15.3
25.9
4
40%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
30.7
27.1
16
89%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
4-5
80%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.7
29.1
19.9
22
70%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
4-8
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
23.8
24.1
11
66%
7
1
0
0
1
2
3
4
1-3
33%
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
22.7
17.7
10
40%
3
3
4
1
0
5
0
3
4-8
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
16.6
11.9
7
72%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
3.2
0
0-1
40%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.0
3.0
0
0-0
49%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.0
2.8
0
0-1
40%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
40.6
33.0
20
81%
9
5
1
1
0
4
2
7
3-3
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
52%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
39.4
36.4
13
41%
5
2
3
1
2
2
1
4
3-4
75%
5-14
9-18
36%
51%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
36.5
31.2
17
63%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
8-8
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-5
20%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.6
33.1
28.0
9
37%
0
6
1
1
0
5
0
0
1-3
33%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.9
17.6
26.5
0
0%
5
0
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.9
28.5
31.1
21
66%
2
6
2
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
45%
3-4
75%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.2
24.5
27.1
10
85%
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.3
15.2
15.9
6
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.2
4.6
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
4.9
0
1-1
42%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.6
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.0
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.