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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Grizzlies49%9793
15Rockets51%9897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
40.9
37.6
23
48%
7
3
1
1
1
2
2
5
5-5
100%
9-20
7-15
45%
48%
0-2
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
40.2
35.7
16
62%
3
3
2
2
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
2-4
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.1
38.2
37.3
11
52%
7
5
0
1
1
2
2
5
5-6
83%
3-8
6-11
38%
53%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
30.1
28.7
12
75%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
6-8
5-10
75%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.1
24.6
28.2
10
44%
5
2
2
2
0
2
4
1
0-1
0%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
31.6
27.1
6
23%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
0-6
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
15.6
19.0
6
104%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
9.9
7.9
9
116%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.9
8.7
8.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.8
4.5
0
1-1
48%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.7
3.8
0
1-1
47%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.9
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.9
47.0
35.5
24
60%
7
9
4
1
0
4
3
4
7-7
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
46%
3-7
43%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
37.5
30.2
9
41%
7
3
1
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-4
25%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.1
34.3
31.5
22
70%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
4-6
67%
6-10
4-8
60%
46%
2-3
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.8
20.8
31.2
10
71%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
7-13
71%
49%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
19.8
20.0
9
92%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
4-4
3-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
30.2
25.8
8
40%
9
1
0
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
24.0
23.7
9
52%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
6-6
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
14.8
15.1
6
39%
3
2
2
1
0
3
3
0
2-4
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.1
11.6
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.7
10.5
0
1-2
49%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
4.4
0
1-1
45%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
3.3
0
0-1
42%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.0
2.9
0
0-1
40%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.0
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.