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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Hornets22%8993
4Thunder78%99101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
29.0
30.3
15
73%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
28.8
40.5
7
40%
4
5
3
2
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-6
5-10
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
27.9
32.2
12
32%
8
3
0
1
0
3
1
7
4-4
100%
4-17
7-14
24%
46%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
22.5
32.7
10
63%
2
0
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
2-2
100%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
20.6
28.2
4
40%
5
1
1
1
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
30.2
15.8
18
51%
5
5
1
0
0
1
1
4
4-6
67%
4-11
2-5
36%
45%
2-4
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
23.3
17.9
14
67%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
42%
1-3
33%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
21.6
6.5
2
14%
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-7
1-1
14%
42%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
19.6
7.0
5
34%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
1-1
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
42%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
16.5
11.6
6
39%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
1-6
1-3
17%
43%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
11.4
0
2-3
53%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
8.2
0
1-2
40%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
7.7
0
1-2
46%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
39.6
36.3
31
68%
8
4
2
1
1
1
0
8
8-9
89%
7-12
7-14
58%
53%
3-7
43%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
34.8
21.0
7
27%
5
0
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
41%
1-9
11%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
34.4
34.3
31
64%
2
4
2
2
0
5
1
1
9-10
90%
8-17
7-15
47%
48%
2-3
67%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.3
31.4
18.2
5
64%
13
3
0
0
6
6
3
10
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
31.0
29.5
9
48%
13
0
2
0
3
2
6
7
1-1
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
53%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
21.6
9.6
6
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
2-6
33%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.3
19.1
6.6
4
67%
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
14.5
12.5
2
50%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.8
13.6
13.0
6
51%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.5
32.5
1
3-5
54%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.3
21.8
1
2-3
59%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.