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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Timberwolves35%101101
12Nuggets65%106103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.5
47.7
39.2
22
44%
13
4
2
1
1
4
5
8
7-7
100%
6-18
7-14
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.3
40.5
34.8
16
45%
5
5
3
2
0
5
0
5
4-4
100%
3-12
3-8
25%
41%
2-4
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.0
27.9
31.4
12
55%
4
6
0
1
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-2
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
18.0
22.9
4
52%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.1
15.1
36.1
7
34%
7
1
0
1
1
0
6
1
1-1
100%
3-10
7-12
30%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
33.5
16.5
17
50%
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
5-13
3-6
38%
45%
2-3
67%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.2
31.8
19.5
10
44%
4
1
1
1
2
3
1
3
3-3
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
44%
1-6
17%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.7
22.3
15.3
5
102%
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
3
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
13.9
22.4
6
38%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-4
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.7
8.6
3.4
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.9
5.8
1.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.6
3.8
0
1-2
46%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
3.8
0
0-1
41%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
43.7
31.2
20
45%
5
3
0
1
1
2
1
4
8-10
80%
6-14
3-6
43%
51%
0-4
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.0
42.6
28.1
12
34%
8
3
1
2
1
0
1
7
4-6
67%
4-10
3-8
40%
46%
0-5
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.3
35.5
16.3
10
102%
14
0
2
0
3
1
5
9
2-2
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.3
16.9
35.6
13
82%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
5-10
67%
53%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.6
11.4
13.5
4
40%
3
0
0
0
1
4
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.0
40.4
26.7
31
50%
9
2
1
1
0
2
3
6
0-5
0%
11-20
3-7
55%
50%
3-9
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.9
29.0
27.9
5
24%
6
12
1
1
1
4
2
4
5-6
83%
0-7
3-7
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.0
18.6
15.0
0
0%
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
17.8
3.7
5
66%
3
2
0
0
2
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
9.0
4.1
3
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
22.2
1
3-5
57%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.9
14.5
1
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
9.3
0
1-2
50%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.