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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards26%9688
14Suns74%105104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
30.5
37.6
10
41%
6
6
0
1
0
4
0
6
2-3
67%
4-10
6-13
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
28.8
30.8
6
23%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-10
33%
45%
0-4
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.2
24.6
27.0
16
62%
8
1
1
1
1
0
4
4
2-2
100%
7-12
4-7
58%
53%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
20.1
28.7
10
41%
9
0
1
1
2
1
3
6
0-3
0%
5-11
5-10
45%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.2
13.8
18.4
5
50%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.5
29.6
16.8
3
22%
2
2
2
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.3
25.8
28.4
20
82%
3
2
1
1
0
4
0
3
4-5
80%
5-5
4-10
100%
43%
2-5
40%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
22.4
2.2
10
63%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
40%
2-4
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.8
17.5
8.6
3
31%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.2
16.2
11.7
5
64%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.8
10.7
21.7
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
6.7
0
1-3
45%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.3
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
33.6
37.6
20
63%
7
1
2
1
1
2
1
6
2-4
50%
9-14
7-13
64%
56%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
31.9
25.6
19
88%
11
0
0
1
2
1
2
9
3-4
75%
2-2
3-5
100%
48%
4-7
57%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.0
27.9
32.6
12
66%
7
11
2
1
1
3
1
6
6-7
86%
3-4
4-7
75%
55%
0-2
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.4
27.7
29.9
11
38%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
5-6
83%
3-11
4-7
27%
49%
0-1
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.6
25.8
30.1
8
50%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
25.4
21.4
6
34%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.5
22.2
16.3
14
65%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.2
20.3
13.5
5
36%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.7
20.1
11.1
8
67%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
43%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.9
5.1
7.1
1
57%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.7
7.5
0
1-1
58%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
6.2
0
0-1
42%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.6
3.5
0
1-1
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.