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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Trail Blazers47%9492
8Lakers53%95103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
38.2
27.2
18
40%
8
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
6-8
75%
6-19
6-13
32%
50%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.2
35.8
34.6
18
55%
6
5
2
1
4
5
3
3
1-1
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
52%
3-7
43%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
35.3
36.7
7
40%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
1-3
33%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.9
26.3
22.6
5
56%
13
1
0
1
0
0
2
11
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.7
18.6
30.3
9
92%
0
4
2
1
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.4
26.8
30.9
9
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
48%
3-5
60%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.9
26.8
22.1
15
59%
4
5
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.4
10.5
16.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
7.4
6.8
2
35%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.3
6.6
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
2.6
4.5
5
125%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.7
2.6
2.0
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.6
2.6
1.5
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.1
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.6
38.4
35.3
16
51%
12
4
0
1
1
2
2
10
6-6
100%
5-13
7-13
38%
51%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
35.7
36.8
28
52%
3
3
4
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
12-23
8-17
52%
48%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.3
33.7
30.9
14
80%
19
2
1
0
1
1
5
14
4-4
100%
5-7
6-11
71%
54%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.5
24.9
20.8
8
46%
3
3
2
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
40%
0-3
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.3
24.8
22.1
6
45%
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.0
21.1
16.8
4
33%
6
1
1
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.0
20.9
26.4
17
94%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
5-6
83%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
19.0
22.9
3
50%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
12.3
10.7
7
44%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
2.6
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.0
2.1
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
2.1
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.1
2.1
2.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.