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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Magic69%9892
24Raptors31%9288
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
37.0
30.4
6
28%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
1-7
14%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
36.3
37.9
36
69%
13
0
1
1
2
2
3
10
4-14
29%
16-20
8-13
80%
59%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
34.9
31.4
0
0%
1
9
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-4
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.1
33.4
28.3
11
55%
2
6
1
1
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
3-6
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.8
30.5
29.7
19
53%
13
0
0
1
0
2
7
6
4-4
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
48%
1-5
20%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.7
31.6
24.6
13
51%
2
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
4-6
67%
0-6
2-5
0%
46%
3-4
75%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.2
21.6
18.0
4
34%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-2
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.5
14.7
18.8
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.9
13.8
0
0-1
42%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.1
7.0
0
1-2
44%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.6
5.3
0
1-1
49%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.6
1.3
0
0-0
50%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.9
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
39.8
28.3
13
47%
7
7
2
1
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
1-4
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
37.9
38.3
23
48%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
8-18
6-13
44%
46%
1-4
25%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
34.9
28.7
8
44%
2
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
48%
2-3
67%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
34.4
19.9
6
38%
7
1
0
1
2
1
3
4
0-2
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.2
23.4
18.4
11
63%
11
0
1
0
0
2
2
9
3-4
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
23.4
20.0
15
78%
6
5
0
0
0
1
1
5
5-6
83%
2-3
2-5
67%
42%
2-4
50%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
18.3
25.3
8
58%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
4-9
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
15.6
5.8
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
12.3
21.0
2
17%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
28.6
1
3-6
56%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.8
1.6
0
0-0
43%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
0.7
0
0-0
47%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.7
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.