Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, March 5, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 19% | 89 | 74 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Timberwolves | 53% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Mavericks | 41% | 96 | 91 |
 | 3 | Thunder | 59% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Bucks | 48% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Bulls | 74% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Magic | 69% | 98 | 92 |
 | 24 | Raptors | 31% | 92 | 88 |
Sunday, March 4, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 35% | 100 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Knicks | 45% | 94 | 111 |
 | 14 | Celtics | 55% | 96 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Heat | 51% | 97 | 83 |
 | 4 | Lakers | 49% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 48% | 97 | 75 |
| 25 | Raptors | 52% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 60% | 102 | 104 | |
 | 30 | Bobcats | 40% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bulls | 52% | 93 | 96 |
| 9 | 76ers | 48% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 51% | 100 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 29% | 98 | 88 |
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Saturday, March 3, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 63% | 94 | 102 |
| 26 | Hornets | 37% | 89 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 45% | 99 | 98 |
| 29 | Wizards | 55% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 63% | 96 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 25% | 93 | 98 |
| 7 | Magic | 75% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 25% | 91 | 83 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 23% | 91 | 96 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 77% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 27% | 96 | 122 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 73% | 105 | 110 |
Friday, March 2, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 70% | 94 | 92 |
| 26 | Hornets | 30% | 87 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 63% | 96 | 102 |
| 25 | Raptors | 37% | 91 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 26% | 90 | 94 | |
| 13 | Celtics | 74% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 40% | 93 | 94 |
| 18 | Hawks | 60% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bulls | 79% | 103 | 112 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 21% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 26% | 91 | 83 |
| 9 | 76ers | 74% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 43% | 101 | 117 |
| 16 | Rockets | 57% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 14% | 92 | 72 |
| 11 | Spurs | 86% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 66% | 101 | 98 |
| 20 | Jazz | 34% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 48% | 99 | 78 |
| 15 | Suns | 52% | 100 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 18% | 92 | 107 |
| 4 | Lakers | 82% | 105 | 115 |
Thursday, March 1, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 55% | 100 | 107 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 66% | 104 | 108 |
| 24 | Kings | 34% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 31% | 98 | 95 |
| 14 | Suns | 69% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 43% | 97 | 105 |
| 7 | Magic | 57% | 99 | 102 |
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 19% | 90 | 85 |
| 4 | Lakers | 81% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 55% | 100 | 83 |
| 23 | Jazz | 45% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 102 | 95 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 45% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bulls | 54% | 97 | 96 |
| 13 | Spurs | 46% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 40% | 89 | 95 |
| 25 | Hornets | 60% | 92 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 47% | 93 | 85 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 53% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 42% | 97 | 94 |
| 28 | Pistons | 58% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 29% | 92 | 85 |
| 16 | Hawks | 71% | 100 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 18% | 94 | 103 |
| 9 | Knicks | 82% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 32% | 90 | 96 |
| 11 | Celtics | 68% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 75% | 101 | 102 |
| 29 | Wizards | 25% | 92 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 51% | 96 | 92 |
| 10 | 76ers | 49% | 95 | 88 |
Tuesday, February 28, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 29% | 96 | 109 |
| 6 | Clippers | 71% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 62% | 96 | 86 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 38% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 42% | 98 | 78 |
| 18 | Pacers | 58% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 69% | 98 | 97 |
| 28 | Pistons | 31% | 92 | 68 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 15% | 84 | 95 | |
| 2 | Bulls | 85% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 26% | 95 | 118 |
| 20 | Bucks | 74% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 27% | 93 | 85 |
| 14 | Rockets | 73% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 17% | 91 | 93 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 83% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 53% | 102 | 96 |
| 23 | Kings | 47% | 101 | 103 |
Thursday, February 23, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 40% | 96 | 85 |
| 5 | Thunder | 60% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 25% | 96 | 88 |
| 1 | Heat | 75% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 49% | 90 | 78 |
| 20 | Hawks | 51% | 91 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 47% | 100 | 114 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 53% | 102 | 99 |
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 34% | 98 | 95 |
| 4 | Clippers | 66% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 39% | 93 | 96 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 61% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 39% | 101 | 106 |
| 13 | Suns | 61% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 39% | 99 | 98 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 61% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 43% | 94 | 87 |
| 12 | Rockets | 57% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 23% | 90 | 91 |
| 2 | Bulls | 77% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 35% | 93 | 82 |
| 8 | Knicks | 65% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 63% | 100 | 108 |
| 23 | Nets | 37% | 95 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 34% | 91 | 104 |
| 6 | Thunder | 66% | 96 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 44% | 93 | 89 | |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 56% | 95 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 66% | 99 | 102 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 34% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 48% | 101 | 115 |
| 29 | Wizards | 52% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 39% | 95 | 93 |
| 27 | Raptors | 61% | 98 | 103 |
Tuesday, February 21, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 26% | 86 | 108 | |
| 21 | Pacers | 74% | 95 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 14% | 93 | 108 |
| 1 | Heat | 86% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 52% | 93 | 76 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 48% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 40% | 95 | 97 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 99 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 45% | 98 | 100 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 55% | 100 | 101 |