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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets19%8974
7Trail Blazers81%10186
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
34.1
27.4
10
58%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
4-6
67%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
33.8
34.4
18
60%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
7-10
3-7
70%
44%
1-4
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
32.1
16.8
4
35%
5
1
3
1
1
2
1
4
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
27.0
33.0
3
25%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
4-9
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
27.0
30.1
10
35%
11
0
1
0
1
4
2
9
2-3
67%
4-13
6-14
31%
46%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
21.0
22.0
9
49%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-5
60%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
18.8
21.5
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
43%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
18.1
19.8
9
75%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-6
60%
42%
1-1
100%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
15.9
20.0
5
43%
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
40%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
12.3
10.3
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
8.9
0
1-2
53%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
7.3
0
1-2
45%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.5
6.1
0
1-2
49%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.2
36.9
34.7
19
53%
3
1
0
1
1
3
1
2
3-4
75%
5-10
4-8
50%
53%
2-6
33%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
32.4
37.5
13
56%
4
1
1
2
0
1
1
3
8-8
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
53%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.7
29.5
24.2
11
55%
0
10
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
1-5
20%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
28.9
35.6
10
45%
11
0
1
1
0
2
1
10
0-0
-
5-11
8-16
45%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.0
25.6
13.9
6
50%
16
2
2
0
2
2
3
13
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.4
26.3
26.6
12
62%
3
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
4-6
67%
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.0
19.3
31.1
5
53%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
4-8
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 32.4
14.2
13.6
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
56%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.4
12.4
4.0
4
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
7.2
8.3
4
41%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
3.4
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.3
2.0
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.7
2.0
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.1
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.