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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks41%9691
3Thunder59%10095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
37.9
28.5
27
58%
5
0
0
1
0
3
0
5
3-3
100%
6-16
5-11
38%
49%
4-6
67%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
35.6
30.8
10
45%
10
2
3
1
0
1
6
4
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
29.1
27.0
6
75%
4
5
3
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
10.3
26.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
45%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
0.5
27.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
37.0
29.9
18
45%
5
7
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
5-13
3-7
38%
47%
2-6
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.3
28.2
10.7
13
89%
5
2
2
0
1
0
1
4
3-3
100%
5-6
1-2
83%
52%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
24.3
12.2
6
33%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
21.3
25.4
9
46%
1
1
3
1
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
1-2
50%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
12.6
4.3
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
3.2
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
7.2
0
1-2
42%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.8
3.0
0
0-0
38%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
39.6
39.7
22
49%
7
3
1
1
0
7
0
7
9-10
90%
5-12
7-14
42%
51%
1-6
17%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
37.4
26.9
8
45%
7
0
1
0
6
2
3
4
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
52%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
36.3
36.4
24
47%
6
3
0
2
0
1
2
4
10-12
83%
4-14
7-16
29%
47%
2-6
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.3
32.3
23.4
7
60%
14
1
1
0
1
3
5
9
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
14.4
18.4
8
67%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
2-5
40%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.5
33.8
29.6
16
57%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
7-7
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
1-6
17%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
23.6
20.8
2
50%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.9
11.7
10.2
5
83%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
11.0
14.8
3
50%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.3
8.8
0
1-2
49%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
8.3
0
1-2
50%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
1.3
0
0-0
44%
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
0.5
0
0-0
45%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.