Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Kings	22%	100	116	109.4	106	89.7
	12	Nuggets	78%	110	119	113.3	105	102.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyreke Evans F · 6'6" 220 · 22	42.0	27	56%	5	4	1	0	4	1	2	3	3-6	50%	12-21	57%	0-1	0%
Marcus Thornton G · 6'4" 205 · 25	35.8	27	71%	4	1	1	0	0	6	2	2	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	6-9	67%
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 26	31.4	13	65%	8	4	1	0	1	4	2	6	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 23	22.9	7	35%	1	4	3	0	4	1	0	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 22	22.6	5	42%	5	5	0	2	3	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 32	29.8	14	78%	4	5	0	1	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30	26.0	11	50%	7	0	0	1	0	3	0	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Jimmer Fredette G · 6'2" 195 · 23	17.4	7	44%	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29	15.2	0	0%	7	1	0	1	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 23	14.0	5	36%	7	0	1	2	2	1	5	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 27	7.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Donte Greene F · 6'11" 226 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Honeycutt F · 6'8" 188 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JJ Hickson #31 · C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	116	52%	49	28	8	7	18	0	14	35	14-21	67%	33-71	46%	12-27	44%

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23 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyreke Evans F · 6'6" 220 · 22	42.0	27	56%	5	4	1	0	4	1	2	3	3-6	50%	12-21	57%	0-1	0%
Marcus Thornton G · 6'4" 205 · 25	35.8	27	71%	4	1	1	0	0	6	2	2	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	6-9	67%
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 26	31.4	13	65%	8	4	1	0	1	4	2	6	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 23	22.9	7	35%	1	4	3	0	4	1	0	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 22	22.6	5	42%	5	5	0	2	3	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 32	29.8	14	78%	4	5	0	1	3	4	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30	26.0	11	50%	7	0	0	1	0	3	0	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Jimmer Fredette G · 6'2" 195 · 23	17.4	7	44%	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29	15.2	0	0%	7	1	0	1	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 23	14.0	5	36%	7	0	1	2	2	1	5	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 27	7.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Donte Greene F · 6'11" 226 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Honeycutt F · 6'8" 188 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JJ Hickson #31 · C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	116	52%	49	28	8	7	18	0	14	35	14-21	67%	33-71	46%	12-27	44%

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12 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	45.2	32	67%	2	0	2	0	1	2	2	0	10-11	91%	5-13	38%	4-7	57%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	43.2	16	50%	7	13	2	1	3	1	2	5	0-0	-	5-11	45%	2-5	40%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	34.1	20	83%	12	1	1	2	1	3	5	7	6-7	86%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	22.4	8	50%	1	1	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	6.7	8	67%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	35.4	14	47%	9	3	0	1	2	5	1	8	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	31.2	2	25%	1	11	0	0	4	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	17.5	4	50%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29	15.5	6	50%	4	2	1	2	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	13.7	9	56%	5	1	1	2	0	0	1	4	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	\| DND - Lower Back Strain
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kosta Koufos #41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	119	57%	47	33	9	8	15	0	12	35	28-35	80%	29-61	48%	11-27	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.05 52.3%

DEN

1.14 57.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

24

43

56%

DEN

23

42

55%

Midrange

SAC

9

28

32%

DEN

6

19

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

12

18.0

27

44%

67%

DEN

11

16.5

27

41%

61%

Free Throws

SAC

14

21

67%

DEN

28

35

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Evans	27	56%	13.5 / 24
M. Thornton	27	71%	13.5 / 19
J. Salmons	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Thompson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
F. Garcia	11	50%	5.5 / 11
I. Thomas	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Fredette	7	44%	3.5 / 8
D. Cousins	5	42%	2.5 / 6
H. Whiteside	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Hayes	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Outlaw	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo	32	67%	16.0 / 24
K. Faried	20	83%	10.0 / 12
T. Lawson	16	50%	8.0 / 16
A. Harrington	14	47%	7.0 / 15
C. Andersen	9	56%	4.5 / 8
C. Brewer	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Mozgov	8	67%	4.0 / 6
Nene	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Gallinari	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Miller	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.2 2 109.3	SAC 109.4 DEN 113.3 +3.9
Pace	1 94.4 2 94.1	SAC 89.7 DEN 102.3 +12.6
Avg. Poss. Time	28 15.0 30 14.6	SAC 16.1 DEN 14.1 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 47.2% 2 51.6%	SAC 52.0% +0.3% DEN 51.7%
TO %	8 14.6% 20 15.7%	SAC 14.4% DEN 12.7% −1.7%
ORB %	7 29.1% 13 27.7%	SAC 28.6% +3.1% DEN 25.5%
FTrt	18 26.8 2 32.6	SAC 21.4 DEN 39.8 +18.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 51.0% 4 61.5%	SAC 62.2% DEN 82.5% +20.3%
STL %	6 8.9% 15 8.6%	SAC 7.5% DEN 8.6% +1.1%
BLK %	22 7.4% 16 8.1%	SAC 11.5% +0.2% DEN 11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 49.8% 3 54.2%	SAC 52.3% DEN 57.2% +4.9%
Rim FG%	23 56.2% 8 59.7%	SAC 55.8% +1.0% DEN 54.8%
Mid FG%	28 35.8% 14 39.3%	SAC 32.1% +0.5% DEN 31.6%
3P %	29 31.6% 24 33.2%	SAC 44.4% +3.7% DEN 40.7%
FT %	25 73.6% 24 73.6%	SAC 66.7% DEN 80.0% +13.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 42.9% 1 48.0%	SAC 43.9% DEN 47.7% +3.8%
Mid Att. %	4 34.3% 1 27.7%	SAC 28.6% DEN 21.6% −7.0%
3P Att. %	16 22.8% 12 24.3%	SAC 27.6% DEN 30.7% +3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	SAC	DEN
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	28.4	24.6
Points	116	119
Rebounds	49	47
Assists	28	33
Steals	8	9
Blocks	7	8
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (7)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	35 (3)
Field Goals	45-98	40-88
At-the-Rim FG	24-43	23-42
Midrange FG	9-28	6-19
2-Point FG	33-71	29-61
3-Point FG	12-27	11-27
Free Throws	14-21	28-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg