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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Kings22%100116
12Nuggets78%110119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
42.0
31.6
27
55%
5
4
1
1
0
4
2
3
3-6
50%
12-21
6-13
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
35.8
31.0
27
72%
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
6-9
67%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
31.4
21.0
13
63%
8
4
1
0
0
1
2
6
3-3
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
49%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.1
22.9
30.5
7
36%
1
4
3
1
0
4
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
42%
0-4
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.6
22.6
30.6
5
43%
5
5
0
1
2
3
1
4
1-2
50%
2-5
7-16
40%
43%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.2
29.8
21.1
14
79%
4
5
0
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
2-4
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
26.0
16.5
11
50%
7
0
0
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
3-6
50%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.0
17.4
13.0
7
44%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
40%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.7
15.2
15.7
0
0%
7
1
0
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.7
14.0
0.9
5
36%
7
0
1
0
2
2
5
2
1-2
50%
2-6
0-0
33%
44%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.5
7.7
4.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.0
19.4
1
2-4
47%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.6
0.5
0
0-0
46%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
45.2
34.3
32
64%
2
0
2
1
0
1
2
0
10-11
91%
5-13
4-8
38%
51%
4-7
57%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.3
43.2
35.4
16
50%
7
13
2
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
54%
2-5
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.3
34.1
26.0
20
83%
12
1
1
1
2
1
5
7
6-7
86%
7-9
4-8
78%
53%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.0
22.4
30.4
8
50%
1
1
1
2
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.6
6.7
17.2
8
69%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.0
35.4
29.5
14
47%
9
3
0
1
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
2-6
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.0
31.2
27.0
2
26%
1
11
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
4-8
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
17.5
8.2
4
52%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-3
33%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
15.5
11.4
6
51%
4
2
1
0
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
58%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
13.7
12.7
9
55%
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
4
3-5
60%
3-6
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
11.8
0
1-3
49%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.9
6.7
0
1-1
51%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
2.6
0
0-0
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.