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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat58%9698
12Magic42%94104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
44.5
33.4
23
69%
8
2
1
1
0
3
2
6
5-6
83%
9-14
6-13
64%
50%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.2
42.4
38.7
19
45%
11
8
1
2
1
6
3
8
3-3
100%
5-16
8-15
31%
54%
2-4
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.2
38.4
31.4
28
61%
6
5
2
1
2
1
0
6
2-2
100%
10-19
8-15
53%
51%
2-3
67%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
31.6
28.4
10
38%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
2-8
25%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
17.5
21.1
2
100%
2
0
3
0
2
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.5
28.8
21.6
2
20%
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
22.8
24.4
4
40%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.4
18.1
18.0
2
17%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.4
15.8
3.1
8
80%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
36%
2-3
67%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.0
5.2
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.1
2.5
0
0-1
44%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
1.5
0
0-0
52%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
46.9
37.3
24
57%
25
1
3
1
2
2
4
21
6-18
33%
9-13
8-14
69%
57%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.7
43.4
27.1
17
65%
1
3
2
0
0
3
0
1
6-7
86%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
3-8
38%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
40.3
28.3
16
65%
12
2
2
1
0
4
7
5
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
2-5
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.1
38.0
27.6
25
74%
1
4
2
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
6-9
2-5
67%
46%
4-7
57%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
37.9
20.5
7
44%
6
5
2
1
0
6
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.9
19.3
16.8
9
73%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-5
80%
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.2
17.9
21.9
6
38%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.5
15.1
18.0
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-2
0%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.0
6.0
4.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
0.4
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
13.1
0
1-3
42%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
2.8
0
0-1
41%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.6
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.6
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.