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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Lakers51%95116
14Grizzlies49%94111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.6
51.8
38.2
34
56%
9
5
1
1
0
3
1
8
11-12
92%
10-21
8-17
48%
47%
1-4
25%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.4
48.9
38.5
37
86%
16
1
1
1
1
4
2
14
7-8
88%
15-18
7-13
83%
55%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.7
46.2
35.6
14
47%
5
8
1
1
2
3
0
5
2-2
100%
6-14
6-12
43%
51%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.3
37.7
28.8
5
26%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-6
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-5
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.6
21.7
24.6
8
68%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-4
0%
41%
2-4
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.0
36.3
22.0
9
90%
5
5
0
1
2
4
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
3-4
75%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.0
20.8
18.2
5
43%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.9
14.8
12.1
2
50%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
6.2
6.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
5.6
6.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.1
3.3
0
0-0
45%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.0
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.4
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
51.1
34.9
10
33%
4
11
3
2
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
47%
0-3
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.1
49.8
32.7
20
40%
11
3
2
1
0
2
4
7
0-0
-
10-23
5-10
43%
52%
0-2
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.6
48.9
22.4
25
61%
7
5
1
0
1
0
3
4
1-1
100%
12-20
4-8
60%
48%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
24.9
3.0
4
40%
6
1
2
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.2
20.7
21.3
18
65%
4
4
3
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
50%
0-2
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
39.6
31.2
14
28%
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
7-17
3-7
41%
46%
0-8
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
33.9
23.9
12
75%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
2-4
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
14.1
20.7
8
67%
3
0
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.8
6.6
7.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.0
0.3
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.0
0.3
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
34.7
1
6-13
48%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.