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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Rockets24%95104
5Thunder76%105103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
40.8
25.8
21
84%
4
1
3
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
4-7
57%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
37.7
29.9
12
47%
6
7
2
1
0
5
1
5
3-4
75%
3-4
3-7
75%
47%
1-7
14%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
37.1
28.2
21
66%
7
6
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
51%
3-5
60%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.9
33.7
33.2
18
46%
5
4
0
1
0
2
2
3
6-6
100%
6-17
7-14
35%
49%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
31.4
29.0
8
40%
8
0
0
1
3
0
4
4
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.8
24.6
17.5
10
53%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
24.5
21.9
12
47%
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
1
2-2
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
48%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
10.3
9.2
2
50%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.1
20.1
1
2-5
45%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
5.4
0
1-2
40%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
3.6
0
0-1
46%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
1.5
0
0-0
43%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.1
1.1
0
0-0
54%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.0
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.5
37.6
35.3
28
64%
12
4
1
1
1
4
1
11
8-9
89%
4-10
7-12
40%
53%
4-8
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
37.6
32.0
19
46%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
7-15
7-14
47%
48%
0-3
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.3
30.3
25.4
4
40%
4
5
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
54%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
26.3
25.6
12
60%
8
1
1
0
2
1
5
3
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
13.3
14.7
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-2
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.5
31.5
31.0
16
56%
4
7
1
1
0
4
0
4
4-5
80%
3-6
3-6
50%
56%
2-6
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
21.2
19.2
4
52%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-2
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
58%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
16.5
18.1
5
83%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
15.3
10.6
10
63%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.9
10.4
14.9
3
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.4
6.6
0
1-1
53%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
2.2
0
0-1
49%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.8
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.