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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards14%9198
11Mavericks86%105107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
42.1
33.9
18
50%
3
10
3
1
0
1
1
2
6-9
67%
6-14
5-12
43%
42%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.4
30.8
30.4
15
40%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
4-13
4-10
31%
41%
1-4
25%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
30.7
31.5
20
61%
12
0
0
1
0
1
4
8
4-8
50%
8-13
4-9
62%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
30.3
25.8
12
54%
5
1
0
1
3
1
2
3
4-5
80%
4-9
5-9
44%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.3
21.2
24.4
5
53%
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
0-2
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
32.8
25.0
15
55%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-6
67%
4-7
3-8
57%
42%
1-4
25%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
17.5
16.0
11
56%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
42%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.9
17.3
11.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
11.4
14.0
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.9
5.9
12.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.3
9.8
0
1-2
44%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
7.0
0
0-1
53%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.3
4.4
0
0-1
44%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.9
34.0
29.2
10
46%
13
4
1
1
0
2
2
11
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
53%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
28.1
30.8
27
81%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
8-9
7-12
89%
53%
2-5
40%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
24.8
21.7
14
64%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
2-5
40%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
24.7
7.5
6
43%
8
1
0
0
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
3-7
1-1
43%
57%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
22.9
20.0
0
0%
2
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
34.5
28.7
24
57%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
8-16
3-7
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
27.9
26.2
19
60%
6
4
2
1
1
0
2
4
3-4
75%
8-11
3-7
73%
52%
0-3
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.4
18.6
19.9
3
23%
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
53%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.4
18.3
24.3
4
100%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
58%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
4.9
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
58%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
1.2
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
12.1
0
2-3
49%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
6.0
0
1-2
44%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.