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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks35%96117
6Nuggets65%101118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
46.5
33.7
9
46%
5
8
0
2
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
48%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
45.3
28.0
6
38%
13
2
0
1
0
1
5
8
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
41.1
35.1
34
63%
2
3
1
1
0
5
1
1
2-2
100%
7-16
5-10
44%
47%
6-10
60%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
40.8
28.5
22
103%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
5-6
83%
4-4
2-5
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
36.4
37.3
33
65%
13
7
1
1
2
1
4
9
5-5
100%
11-20
8-16
55%
48%
2-3
67%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
23.4
28.4
10
46%
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
1-2
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
17.2
11.0
3
30%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
10.8
11.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-4
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
3.5
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.9
13.4
1
2-4
46%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
8.2
0
1-2
44%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
6.8
0
1-1
40%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
6.1
0
1-2
48%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
38.5
21.7
22
59%
6
5
0
1
2
3
0
6
6-6
100%
8-16
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
37.1
20.5
19
59%
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
6-7
86%
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
1-4
25%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.4
35.3
34.9
21
88%
6
7
3
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
4-5
80%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
34.6
33.8
7
35%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.3
25.4
19.7
8
52%
9
1
1
1
1
0
3
6
2-4
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.1
30.1
28.6
19
69%
8
2
0
1
0
2
0
8
3-4
75%
8-9
4-8
89%
50%
0-3
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.0
21.3
26.1
5
73%
0
8
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.0
18.5
25.4
12
61%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
45%
0-2
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.9
15.6
6.3
5
50%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.7
8.5
5.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
18.3
0
2-4
55%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.0
9.3
0
1-2
51%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
5.4
0
1-1
45%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.