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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Bulls76%9994
25Raptors24%8982
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
43.6
37.8
17
46%
10
3
1
1
2
4
2
8
6-6
100%
4-13
4-8
31%
49%
1-3
33%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
32.4
24.5
15
63%
4
3
0
1
0
4
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-6
40%
44%
3-6
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.0
31.5
24.3
12
55%
6
2
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.1
28.2
32.2
8
39%
8
5
1
1
1
0
3
5
0-3
0%
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.3
27.4
29.2
8
44%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
7-12
44%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.0
20.9
22.8
10
59%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
20.6
17.3
8
60%
7
0
1
0
1
2
1
6
4-6
67%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
18.4
14.3
3
35%
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
1-3
33%
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.3
17.1
19.2
13
55%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
13.2
0
3-5
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.5
8.4
0
1-1
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 36.7
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
0.7
0
0-0
44%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
39.9
23.1
9
41%
0
8
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
47%
1-2
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
37.1
35.7
23
45%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
11-23
5-12
48%
45%
0-2
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
33.4
31.1
8
34%
5
6
1
0
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
2-7
5-11
29%
46%
0-3
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
31.5
23.6
16
57%
7
2
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
8-14
3-6
57%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
25.3
22.1
6
50%
5
1
2
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
20.4
20.1
5
26%
8
0
0
0
0
2
2
6
1-1
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
19.0
16.6
4
41%
1
5
3
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
17.3
11.0
6
100%
8
1
0
0
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
14.6
23.4
5
56%
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
1.5
25.4
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
42%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
4.7
0
0-1
44%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.8
1.2
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.