Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 21, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Bulls | 76% | 99 | 94 |
 | 25 | Raptors | 24% | 89 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Knicks | 37% | 94 | 82 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Magic | 70% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Nets | 62% | 100 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Hornets | 53% | 96 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Thunder | 71% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Timberwolves | 23% | 97 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 24% | 98 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Lakers | 33% | 92 | 109 |
 | 5 | Mavericks | 67% | 98 | 93 |
Tuesday, March 20, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 49% | 97 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 23% | 95 | 87 |
| 8 | Knicks | 77% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 21% | 94 | 95 |
 | 1 | Heat | 79% | 105 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 58% | 98 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 61% | 102 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Bucks | 45% | 100 | 116 |
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Monday, March 19, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 79% | 97 | 105 |
 | 30 | Bobcats | 21% | 87 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 35% | 96 | 105 |
| 23 | Nets | 65% | 102 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Celtics | 51% | 90 | 79 |
| 16 | Hawks | 49% | 89 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bulls | 51% | 95 | 85 |
| 6 | Magic | 49% | 94 | 59 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 49% | 100 | 112 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 51% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 39% | 102 | 97 |
| 22 | Warriors | 61% | 105 | 93 |
Sunday, March 18, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 62% | 98 | 103 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 38% | 94 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 28% | 95 | 83 |
| 12 | Clippers | 72% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 20% | 91 | 92 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 80% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 51% | 104 | 99 |
| 24 | Kings | 49% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 28% | 93 | 81 |
| 1 | Heat | 72% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 34% | 97 | 86 |
| 15 | Suns | 66% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 96 | 95 |
| 4 | Thunder | 74% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 23% | 93 | 103 |
| 6 | Lakers | 77% | 102 | 99 |
Saturday, March 17, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 31% | 95 | 91 |
| 9 | Clippers | 69% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 54% | 97 | 103 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 46% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 48% | 98 | 102 |
| 17 | Pacers | 52% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 49% | 91 | 102 | |
| 25 | Nets | 51% | 92 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 33% | 88 | 80 |
| 2 | Bulls | 67% | 94 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 41% | 96 | 99 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 59% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 36% | 96 | 91 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 64% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 35% | 99 | 92 |
| 20 | Jazz | 65% | 104 | 99 |
Friday, March 16, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 56% | 95 | 84 |
| 12 | 76ers | 44% | 93 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 18% | 91 | 70 | |
| 6 | Magic | 82% | 103 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 37% | 96 | 100 |
| 11 | Knicks | 63% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 20% | 90 | 88 |
| 14 | Hawks | 80% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 92 | 100 |
| 2 | Bulls | 75% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 26% | 92 | 114 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 74% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 41% | 98 | 114 |
| 4 | Thunder | 59% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 33% | 97 | 101 |
| 16 | Suns | 67% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 67% | 100 | 95 |
| 26 | Kings | 33% | 94 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 20% | 95 | 92 |
| 3 | Lakers | 80% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 48% | 101 | 120 |
| 21 | Warriors | 52% | 102 | 98 |
Thursday, March 15, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 41% | 93 | 99 |
| 24 | Hornets | 59% | 96 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 10% | 86 | 96 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 90% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 46% | 104 | 103 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 54% | 105 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 45% | 102 | 105 |
| 19 | Jazz | 55% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 34% | 97 | 91 |
| 10 | Clippers | 66% | 102 | 87 |
Wednesday, March 14, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 58% | 93 | 94 |
| 18 | Pacers | 42% | 90 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 42% | 97 | 84 |
| 28 | Nets | 58% | 99 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 98 | 79 |
| 12 | Knicks | 63% | 102 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 41% | 94 | 102 |
| 2 | Bulls | 59% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 25% | 98 | 105 |
| 17 | Bucks | 75% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 66% | 94 | 107 |
| 25 | Hornets | 34% | 89 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 28% | 94 | 87 |
| 20 | Rockets | 72% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 32% | 94 | 111 |
| 4 | Spurs | 68% | 100 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 46% | 99 | 124 |
| 23 | Kings | 54% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 38% | 99 | 111 |
| 15 | Suns | 62% | 103 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 32% | 93 | 82 |
| 8 | Clippers | 68% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 64% | 97 | 105 |
| 22 | Warriors | 36% | 92 | 103 |
Tuesday, March 13, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 58% | 96 | 98 |
| 12 | Magic | 42% | 94 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 42% | 97 | 96 |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 58% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 97 | 75 |
| 18 | Pacers | 49% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 51% | 95 | 116 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 49% | 94 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 24% | 95 | 104 |
| 5 | Thunder | 76% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 14% | 91 | 98 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 86% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 35% | 96 | 117 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 65% | 101 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 53% | 102 | 115 |
| 23 | Kings | 47% | 101 | 89 |
Monday, March 12, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 55% | 102 | 105 |
| 27 | Nets | 45% | 100 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Knicks | 24% | 94 | 99 |
| 2 | Bulls | 76% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 31% | 91 | 73 |
| 25 | Hornets | 69% | 97 | 71 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 14% | 94 | 97 |
| 3 | Spurs | 86% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 33% | 96 | 90 |
| 20 | Jazz | 67% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 34% | 101 | 127 |
| 15 | Suns | 66% | 106 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 38% | 91 | 94 |
| 7 | Clippers | 62% | 96 | 85 |
Sunday, March 11, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 47% | 97 | 106 |
| 12 | Knicks | 53% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 31% | 88 | 94 |
| 3 | Lakers | 69% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 62% | 101 | 105 |
| 28 | Raptors | 38% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 30% | 91 | 94 |
| 6 | Magic | 70% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 45% | 99 | 107 |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 55% | 101 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 34% | 97 | 94 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 66% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 58% | 98 | 106 |
| 23 | Kings | 42% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 24% | 95 | 97 |
| 8 | Clippers | 76% | 105 | 93 |
Saturday, March 10, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 102 | 110 |
| 29 | Wizards | 34% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 26% | 92 | 91 |
| 1 | Heat | 74% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 53% | 98 | 86 |
| 28 | Pistons | 47% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 57% | 99 | 112 |
| 26 | Nets | 43% | 97 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 16% | 90 | 97 |
| 2 | Bulls | 84% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 11% | 90 | 95 |
| 5 | Thunder | 89% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 35% | 94 | 95 | |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 65% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 46% | 97 | 91 |
| 14 | Suns | 54% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 56% | 98 | 87 |
| 20 | Warriors | 44% | 96 | 111 |
Friday, March 9, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 28% | 91 | 91 |
| 11 | 76ers | 72% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 53% | 100 | 83 | |
| 30 | Bobcats | 47% | 98 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 93 | 86 |
| 14 | Celtics | 51% | 94 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 63% | 97 | 85 |
| 28 | Pistons | 37% | 92 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 17% | 95 | 96 |
| 3 | Thunder | 83% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 59% | 99 | 105 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 41% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Knicks | 51% | 104 | 114 |
| 18 | Bucks | 49% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 39% | 96 | 120 |
| 8 | Spurs | 61% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 22% | 94 | 97 | |
| 9 | Nuggets | 78% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 65% | 101 | 97 |
| 24 | Kings | 35% | 96 | 110 |
Thursday, March 8, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 33% | 91 | 99 |
| 1 | Bulls | 67% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 56% | 99 | 94 |
| 15 | Suns | 44% | 97 | 96 |