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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Warriors47%95101
26Hornets53%9692
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
40.7
28.6
27
55%
5
5
1
1
0
3
2
3
1-1
100%
7-16
3-8
44%
45%
4-8
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
40.1
35.1
25
56%
11
3
1
1
0
1
4
7
7-8
88%
9-19
7-14
47%
52%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.8
29.2
30.6
8
50%
0
10
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
2-4
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.3
16.8
32.7
8
50%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
15.7
2.1
4
50%
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
29.8
27.1
16
80%
2
0
1
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
4-7
57%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.7
29.2
28.9
8
44%
5
2
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
19.4
24.7
3
61%
0
1
0
1
4
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
19.2
9.9
2
20%
2
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
12.4
0
1-1
57%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
2.5
0
0-0
47%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
33.4
32.4
13
44%
9
5
0
1
4
4
3
6
3-4
75%
5-13
7-15
38%
48%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
30.9
32.4
17
79%
10
11
0
1
0
0
0
10
4-4
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
48%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
30.1
26.1
5
31%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
27.3
31.7
8
80%
6
3
2
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
17.4
28.0
8
100%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
26.1
13.2
12
50%
7
1
0
0
0
0
5
2
0-0
-
6-12
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
25.6
12.0
13
44%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
6-14
2-4
43%
45%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
21.6
22.4
9
51%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
16.0
18.0
3
52%
5
1
0
1
4
4
1
4
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
11.7
17.5
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
8.8
0
1-2
55%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.5
5.7
0
1-2
51%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
5.4
0
0-1
48%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.