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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pistons24%98115
11Nuggets76%107116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.0
41.3
25.6
45
84%
0
8
2
1
0
2
0
0
10-11
91%
4-13
3-7
31%
45%
9-9
100%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.3
32.7
34.5
16
74%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
4-5
3-8
80%
43%
2-4
50%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.8
29.1
30.2
13
66%
11
2
3
1
1
3
2
9
1-2
50%
6-9
6-12
67%
52%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.1
28.7
35.0
6
33%
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
5-12
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
21.6
21.9
7
51%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
26.4
21.7
12
64%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
1-1
100%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.2
21.9
3.0
10
41%
3
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
4-11
0-1
36%
44%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.2
19.4
11.7
5
46%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
18.8
16.7
1
28%
4
0
3
1
0
0
1
3
1-4
25%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
34.4
1
5-11
45%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.6
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
2.4
0
0-1
42%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
1.3
0
0-0
39%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.4
37.6
35.6
25
97%
1
6
1
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
6-6
4-7
100%
54%
4-6
67%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
34.6
31.9
23
79%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
6-9
4-7
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.9
33.1
26.4
11
46%
10
3
1
1
1
4
1
9
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.3
24.9
22.5
12
55%
5
1
0
1
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.7
21.4
11.4
9
77%
7
3
0
0
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
52%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.1
24.4
26.0
16
71%
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
2-3
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
52%
2-4
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
24.1
16.2
15
61%
7
0
1
0
3
1
3
4
1-3
33%
7-11
3-6
64%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.0
20.0
15.7
0
0%
6
7
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.0
19.9
19.9
5
36%
0
3
1
1
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
26.2
1
3-5
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
7.6
0
1-2
57%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
2.4
0
0-1
50%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
1.4
0
0-0
53%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.0
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.