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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Suns30%9493
6Magic70%101103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
30.2
32.0
17
75%
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
6-9
4-7
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.5
27.2
30.3
6
43%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.1
27.2
30.2
12
65%
2
2
2
1
0
5
0
2
4-5
80%
4-7
3-5
57%
53%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
25.9
30.7
4
25%
9
3
0
1
3
1
4
5
2-2
100%
1-7
6-11
14%
54%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
22.0
29.0
9
45%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
1-5
20%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
26.0
16.7
9
56%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
41%
1-3
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.0
22.1
15.4
14
53%
8
1
1
0
0
1
5
3
2-5
40%
6-11
2-5
55%
47%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.3
20.8
19.6
10
50%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-6
63%
44%
0-2
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.8
20.8
16.1
10
51%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
2-7
2-4
29%
41%
1-1
100%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.6
11.9
12.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
5.9
4.4
2
100%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.7
3.7
0
1-1
47%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.8
3.6
0
0-1
55%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
38.2
28.9
29
78%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
4-6
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
7-12
58%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
35.0
38.3
28
69%
16
0
0
1
3
2
6
10
6-10
60%
11-16
8-14
69%
60%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.1
26.2
30.1
9
75%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
1-2
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
24.9
28.0
7
58%
2
3
2
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
22.8
29.3
0
0%
6
5
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
50%
0-3
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.7
23.6
23.6
10
63%
1
4
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.9
21.5
18.5
2
20%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.2
21.2
20.7
16
56%
7
2
1
1
0
0
3
4
4-5
80%
6-12
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
20.2
15.7
2
17%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
1-1
17%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
1.6
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.0
1.6
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
1.6
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
1.6
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.6
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.