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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Jazz41%94133
16Hawks59%97139
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
57.5
31.6
19
48%
8
5
2
1
2
1
3
5
10-11
91%
3-12
3-7
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
54.9
27.3
11
28%
5
10
0
1
1
3
1
4
3-4
75%
4-11
3-5
36%
47%
0-7
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.1
52.4
29.4
25
45%
13
4
2
1
1
2
4
9
5-7
71%
10-25
6-11
40%
51%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.2
51.3
29.4
28
52%
17
1
1
1
3
1
5
12
0-0
-
14-27
7-14
52%
49%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.0
49.5
25.7
17
61%
6
3
2
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
20.9
19.6
10
46%
5
1
1
1
1
0
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
18.9
22.9
14
77%
7
0
0
1
0
0
4
3
6-7
86%
4-6
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.1
13.4
16.7
2
25%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-4
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
10.5
11.5
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
10.5
8.8
5
36%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
44%
1-1
100%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
9.0
0
0-1
45%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
5.9
0
0-1
44%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
3.5
0
0-1
53%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
55.4
35.2
37
59%
8
2
1
1
0
5
1
7
5-8
63%
10-21
5-10
48%
49%
4-7
57%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
54.2
26.1
15
61%
20
2
1
1
3
0
7
13
3-3
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
52.5
37.4
18
48%
7
9
0
2
0
3
3
4
10-11
91%
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
0-5
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
43.9
33.5
12
56%
2
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
30.2
37.0
22
38%
10
6
1
1
1
1
2
8
3-6
50%
8-23
8-16
35%
49%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
43.9
20.7
16
72%
9
2
2
1
0
1
1
8
6-7
86%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
25.8
15.6
9
58%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
25.5
11.7
10
74%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
8.6
8.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
8.0
0
0-1
45%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
7.8
0
1-2
45%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
5.4
0
0-1
42%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
1.4
0
0-0
53%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.