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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
976ers46%9576
7Spurs54%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
36.1
30.3
10
45%
6
3
0
1
0
5
0
6
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.8
30.6
31.9
10
36%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.9
26.8
23.0
6
44%
6
4
2
0
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
26.4
19.3
11
55%
5
0
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.0
24.4
29.6
14
78%
9
2
1
1
2
4
3
6
0-0
-
7-9
5-10
78%
49%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
29.9
3.5
8
36%
9
1
2
0
1
3
4
5
0-0
-
4-10
0-1
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
28.3
26.8
9
31%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
44%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
24.8
28.4
6
34%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
3-8
6-11
38%
51%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.4
12.7
7.0
2
22%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-6
33%
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
36.4
2
3-7
48%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.1
4.3
0
0-1
45%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.1
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
1.4
0
0-0
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.7
32.4
27.8
11
70%
10
2
1
1
0
1
1
9
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
32.1
24.3
21
57%
1
7
0
1
0
5
0
1
3-3
100%
9-15
5-10
60%
49%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.9
31.2
21.5
19
57%
6
1
3
1
0
2
2
4
1-4
25%
9-15
4-8
60%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
27.9
30.1
10
63%
3
2
1
1
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
3-5
60%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
26.7
24.2
10
56%
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
26.6
13.9
2
26%
7
2
3
0
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
26.6
25.7
11
41%
5
5
3
1
2
2
1
4
1-1
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
0-5
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
20.3
22.2
7
45%
6
1
2
1
1
5
1
5
2-4
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Justin Dentmon
G · 5'11" 185 · 26.6
12.1
7.8
2
25%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
38%
0-3
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
4.1
11.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.9
29.9
1
6-13
47%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
18.4
0
2-4
44%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.6
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.