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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat48%9887
3Thunder52%99103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.2
39.6
36.5
17
46%
3
7
2
2
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
8-15
8-15
53%
54%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.2
37.5
35.3
22
84%
4
4
3
1
2
6
0
4
7-7
100%
3-6
9-17
50%
51%
3-4
75%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
35.5
35.5
18
66%
5
2
3
1
0
5
1
4
6-6
100%
6-11
7-13
55%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
24.7
30.9
3
30%
2
2
0
2
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
15.7
17.4
4
100%
4
0
0
0
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
32.4
24.3
8
57%
9
1
1
0
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.5
28.5
19.8
11
50%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
3-9
33%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.4
11.5
15.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
11.1
8.5
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
3.6
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
4.9
0
1-1
48%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
1.8
0
0-1
52%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.1
1.3
0
0-0
45%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.5
42.1
39.2
28
63%
9
8
2
1
1
2
1
8
2-5
40%
7-15
7-13
47%
51%
4-5
80%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.4
33.4
22.4
16
73%
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
8-11
2-3
73%
52%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
33.0
36.6
13
37%
3
6
3
2
1
4
2
1
4-4
100%
3-13
7-16
23%
47%
1-3
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
31.6
24.4
19
84%
10
1
1
0
1
1
4
6
3-3
100%
8-10
4-7
80%
52%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.9
20.3
15.2
4
42%
2
1
3
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.6
32.0
32.2
19
94%
3
6
2
1
0
7
0
3
6-7
86%
5-6
3-5
83%
55%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
18.6
21.9
2
100%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.6
17.6
24.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
5.8
7.9
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
2.0
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.9
1.2
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.3
1.2
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.4
1.2
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.