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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors30%9787
20Trail Blazers70%10490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
41.1
36.4
16
50%
16
4
1
1
0
1
3
13
8-9
89%
4-12
8-15
33%
50%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
39.6
18.2
27
61%
2
6
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
12-18
2-5
67%
44%
1-4
25%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
33.5
34.0
16
63%
2
2
0
1
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
4-10
60%
44%
2-6
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.3
13.2
23.2
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
8.7
9.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
40.5
26.5
10
56%
11
3
1
1
4
3
0
11
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.8
35.1
27.4
14
58%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
20.2
20.2
4
52%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-0
-
Keith Benson
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.6
4.0
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
4.0
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.8
24.7
1
3-6
46%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
6.0
0
0-1
55%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
5.2
0
1-1
48%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.7
37.8
37.6
18
55%
9
4
1
1
3
2
1
8
6-10
60%
6-11
8-16
55%
52%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.4
36.5
34.1
10
34%
4
2
3
1
0
0
1
3
4-6
67%
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
2-8
25%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.3
36.0
33.2
17
52%
8
3
1
1
3
1
3
5
1-1
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
54%
2-6
33%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.7
34.3
30.5
24
64%
5
7
2
1
1
1
2
3
2-4
50%
5-10
4-7
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 32.5
14.7
18.1
5
53%
7
1
0
0
1
1
3
4
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.0
27.6
25.4
4
18%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
47%
0-4
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.6
17.5
11.4
4
29%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
46%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.5
14.3
12.5
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
12.4
14.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
9.0
7.2
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
2-3
67%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.4
5.6
0
1-1
56%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
3.7
0
0-1
42%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.1
1.4
0
0-0
56%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.