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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs
125
28Cavaliers
90
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
26
19
19
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
4-6
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.9
23
29
7
8
1
1
1
2
3
1
7
3-4
75%
2-6
7-13
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
23
32
19
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
9-11
7-13
82%
52%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.9
21
23
10
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
53%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
19
27
8
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
25
12
6
6
9
1
0
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
20
4
20
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
0-1
67%
46%
4-5
80%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
19
26
7
6
6
2
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
1-1
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
17
14
11
5
3
0
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
5-7
3-5
71%
58%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
15
4
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
15
16
11
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
10
20
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
9
22
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.8
30
32
15
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
2-10
5-11
20%
46%
3-3
100%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
30
31
4
5
4
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.0
30
23
13
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
2-7
29%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.1
28
24
10
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.8
23
30
10
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
22
14
12
3
2
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
42%
2-2
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.8
18
15
11
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.0
18
13
2
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.2
15
20
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.7
12
7
11
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
3-4
75%
4-7
1-2
57%
51%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.2
8
18
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
6
10
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.1
7
0
0-1
39%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.