FinalWin Prob.pScore
939%89
93
561%93
99
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
100.09395.9
MIA logo MIA
104.29592.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0PHIHoliday 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot (8 PTS)93
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (41 PTS)91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0PHIHawes 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS)91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0PHIMISS Hawes 2' Layup89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0PHITurner 1' Driving Dunk (26 PTS)89
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)87
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)87
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0PHITurner 10' Jump Shot (24 PTS)87
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)85
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)85
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 1:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 1:18PHIMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 1:27MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (36 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)85
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 1:34MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper85
6.5%
90
93.5%
Q4 - 1:48PHIYoung 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)85
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q4 - 1:50PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)83
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 1:51PHIMISS Holiday 13' Jump Shot83
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 2:03MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (34 PTS)83
3.5%
90
96.5%
Q4 - 2:17MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Williams: Tip to Bosh83
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 2:18PHIMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot83
5.8%
88
94.2%
Q4 - 2:27MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (32 PTS)83
9.3%
88
90.7%
Q4 - 2:54PHIWilliams 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)83
14.1%
86
85.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)81
10.6%
86
89.4%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 281
11.5%
85
88.5%
Q4 - 3:21MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q4 - 3:22PHIMISS Young 2' Tip Shot81
10.8%
85
89.2%
Q4 - 3:23PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
15.9%
85
84.1%
Q4 - 3:24PHIMISS Williams 9' Floating Jump Shot81
10.8%
85
89.2%
Q4 - 3:36PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
16.6%
85
83.4%
Q4 - 3:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
12.7%
85
87.3%
Q4 - 3:52PHIMISS Turner 13' Jump Shot81
14.2%
85
85.8%
Q4 - 3:59PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
18.0%
85
82.0%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
16.1%
85
83.9%
Q4 - 4:14PHITurner Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)81
12.4%
85
87.6%
Q4 - 4:19PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
17.7%
85
82.3%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup81
15.9%
85
84.1%
Q4 - 4:38PHIHawes 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)81
12.3%
85
87.7%
Q4 - 4:49PHI76ers Rebound79
8.9%
85
91.1%
Q4 - 4:50PHIMISS Hawes 2' Layup79
6.8%
85
93.2%
Q4 - 4:54PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
8.9%
85
91.1%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
7.9%
85
92.1%
Q4 - 5:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
8.2%
85
91.8%
Q4 - 5:21PHIMISS Williams 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup79
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 5:46MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)79
11.2%
85
88.8%
Q4 - 6:03PHIHawes 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS)79
9.9%
85
90.1%
Q4 - 6:21PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot77
6.9%
85
93.1%
Q4 - 6:52PHIYoung 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)77
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q4 - 7:07MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)75
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 7:10PHICole STEAL (2 STL)75
8.7%
82
91.3%
Q4 - 7:15PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
11.4%
82
88.6%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot75
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 7:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
8.6%
82
91.4%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot75
10.4%
82
89.6%
Q4 - 8:03PHIWilliams 1' Dunk (16 PTS)75
10.2%
82
89.8%
Q4 - 8:04PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q4 - 8:05PHIMISS Holiday 2' Driving Layup73
6.8%
82
93.2%
Q4 - 8:09MIAHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)73
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q4 - 8:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)73
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot73
7.4%
82
92.6%
Q4 - 8:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q4 - 8:47PHIMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 8:56MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)73
7.9%
82
92.1%
Q4 - 9:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q4 - 9:04PHIHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)73
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 9:33MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)73
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q4 - 9:56PHIWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Holiday 6 AST)73
11.2%
80
88.8%
Q4 - 10:10MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)70
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q4 - 10:23PHIHoliday Traveling Turnover (P6.T15)70
6.5%
80
93.5%
Q4 - 10:38MIAHarris 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)70
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q4 - 11:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
10.7%
78
89.3%
Q4 - 11:02PHIMISS Young 4' Jump Shot70
11.3%
78
88.7%
Q4 - 11:17MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T13)70
12.8%
78
87.2%
Q4 - 11:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
10.7%
78
89.3%
Q4 - 11:22PHIMISS Turner 9' Jump Shot70
11.3%
78
88.7%
Q4 - 11:44MIAHaslem 2' Layup (6 PTS)70
12.8%
78
87.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
15.4%
76
84.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
15.4%
76
84.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0PHIMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
17.2%
76
82.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
19.1%
76
80.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Haslem 1' Driving Layup70
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
16.3%
76
83.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot70
18.2%
76
81.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0PHIYoung 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)70
16.3%
76
83.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q3 - 1:00PHIMISS Williams 6' Floating Jump Shot68
12.1%
76
87.9%
Q3 - 1:07PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
14.1%
76
85.9%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot68
13.4%
76
86.6%
Q3 - 1:28PHITurner 10' Jump Shot (22 PTS)68
12.0%
76
88.0%
Q3 - 1:45PHI76ers Rebound66
10.0%
76
90.0%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
9.5%
76
90.5%
Q3 - 1:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
8.4%
76
91.6%
Q3 - 1:55PHIMISS Young 8' Turnaround Jump Shot66
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q3 - 2:23MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (26 PTS)66
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q3 - 2:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot66
14.0%
74
86.0%
Q3 - 2:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q3 - 2:46PHIMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot66
13.1%
74
86.9%
Q3 - 3:07PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
15.4%
74
84.6%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 266
15.1%
74
84.9%
Q3 - 3:08MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)66
13.7%
74
86.3%
Q3 - 3:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q3 - 3:12PHIMISS Young 19' Jump Shot66
16.1%
73
83.9%
Q3 - 3:22PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
17.9%
73
82.1%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
17.1%
73
82.9%
Q3 - 3:41PHITurner 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)66
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)64
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q3 - 4:15PHIBattier STEAL (3 STL)64
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 4:32MIABosh 1' Running Dunk (15 PTS) (James 4 AST)64
21.2%
70
78.8%
Q3 - 4:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 4:39PHITuriaf BLOCK (2 BLK)64
24.8%
68
75.2%
Q3 - 4:47MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)64
27.6%
68
72.4%
Q3 - 5:09PHIWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)64
24.0%
68
76.0%
Q3 - 5:17PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS James 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup61
17.9%
68
82.1%
Q3 - 5:31PHIBosh STEAL (2 STL)61
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q3 - 5:43MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 5:43MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
19.1%
67
80.9%
Q3 - 6:02PHIIguodala 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)61
21.5%
66
78.5%
Q3 - 6:20MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T11)59
19.1%
66
80.9%
Q3 - 6:27PHIHawes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
16.6%
66
83.4%
Q3 - 6:27PHIHawes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
15.9%
66
84.1%
Q3 - 6:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)57
14.6%
66
85.4%
Q3 - 6:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)57
15.0%
65
85.0%
Q3 - 6:43MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
16.6%
64
83.4%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMISS James 2' Reverse Layup57
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 6:56PHIJames STEAL (3 STL)57
16.6%
64
83.4%
Q3 - 7:12PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
19.5%
64
80.5%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot57
18.7%
64
81.3%
Q3 - 7:24MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 7:25PHIMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
17.8%
64
82.2%
Q3 - 7:32MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)57
19.5%
64
80.5%
Q3 - 7:49MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 7:50PHIMISS Turner 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
17.7%
64
82.3%
Q3 - 8:04MIATuriaf Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
19.8%
64
80.2%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMISS Turiaf Free Throw 1 of 257
20.5%
63
79.5%
Q3 - 8:23PHITurner 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)57
19.6%
63
80.4%
Q3 - 8:34MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 3 AST)55
17.5%
63
82.5%
Q3 - 8:55MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
22.1%
60
77.9%
Q3 - 8:56PHIMISS Holiday 12' Jump Shot55
22.9%
60
77.1%
Q3 - 9:17MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)55
24.9%
60
75.1%
Q3 - 9:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q3 - 9:38PHIMISS Turner Free Throw 2 of 255
31.2%
57
68.8%
Q3 - 9:38PHITurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
33.2%
57
66.8%
Q3 - 9:42PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
30.8%
57
69.2%
Q3 - 9:43MIAMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot54
29.9%
57
70.1%
Q3 - 9:59MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
27.7%
57
72.3%
Q3 - 10:00PHIMISS Holiday 4' Driving Jump Shot54
28.6%
57
71.4%
Q3 - 10:17MIAChalmers 13' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
30.9%
57
69.1%
Q3 - 10:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
33.8%
55
66.2%
Q3 - 10:39PHIMISS Holiday 19' Jump Shot54
34.8%
55
65.2%
Q3 - 10:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
37.3%
55
62.7%
Q3 - 10:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
37.9%
54
62.1%
Q3 - 11:04PHIBattier STEAL (2 STL)54
40.4%
53
59.6%
Q3 - 11:21MIABattier 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)54
43.9%
53
56.1%
Q3 - 11:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
47.1%
51
52.9%
Q3 - 11:40PHIJames BLOCK (1 BLK)54
48.3%
51
51.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHI54
50.8%
51
49.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames 8' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)54
50.8%
51
49.2%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
54.0%
49
46.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0PHITuriaf BLOCK (1 BLK)54
54.7%
49
45.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
56.4%
49
43.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot54
55.7%
49
44.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0PHI76ers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)54
54.0%
49
46.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0PHI76ers Rebound54
56.4%
49
43.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0PHIMISS Holiday 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
54.7%
49
45.3%
Q2 - 1:02MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)54
55.7%
49
44.3%
Q2 - 1:15PHIBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
53.6%
49
46.4%
Q2 - 1:15PHIBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
52.8%
49
47.2%
Q2 - 1:15PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
49.3%
49
50.7%
Q2 - 1:16PHIMISS Iguodala 2' Driving Layup52
47.8%
49
52.2%
Q2 - 1:21MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)52
49.3%
49
50.7%
Q2 - 1:30PHIBattier STEAL (1 STL)52
47.1%
49
52.9%
Q2 - 1:46MIAJames 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)52
49.3%
49
50.7%
Q2 - 2:01PHIHoliday 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)52
52.3%
47
47.7%
Q2 - 2:21PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
49.3%
47
50.7%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
48.3%
47
51.7%
Q2 - 2:30MIAHEAT Rebound50
46.1%
47
53.9%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot50
48.3%
47
51.7%
Q2 - 2:45PHIChalmers STEAL (2 STL)50
46.2%
47
53.8%
Q2 - 3:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
49.1%
47
50.9%
Q2 - 3:04MIAHaslem 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)50
49.1%
47
50.9%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot50
54.1%
45
45.9%
Q2 - 3:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
51.7%
45
48.3%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup50
54.1%
45
45.9%
Q2 - 3:27PHIBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
51.7%
45
48.3%
Q2 - 3:27PHIBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
51.0%
45
49.0%
Q2 - 3:46MIAChalmers 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)48
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q2 - 4:00PHIIguodala 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)48
51.7%
43
48.3%
Q2 - 4:04MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)46
48.3%
43
51.7%
Q2 - 4:22PHIIguodala 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)46
45.2%
43
54.8%
Q2 - 4:26PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot44
41.5%
43
58.5%
Q2 - 4:49MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
39.4%
43
60.6%
Q2 - 4:50PHIMISS Brand 14' Jump Shot44
40.3%
43
59.7%
Q2 - 4:56MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)44
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 5:00PHICole STEAL (1 STL)44
39.4%
43
60.6%
Q2 - 5:10PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot44
41.4%
43
58.6%
Q2 - 5:36PHIYoung 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Holiday 5 AST)44
39.5%
43
60.5%
Q2 - 5:59MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)42
36.7%
43
63.3%
Q2 - 6:09MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 6:10PHIMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot42
40.0%
41
60.0%
Q2 - 6:22PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
42.2%
41
57.8%
Q2 - 6:23PHIMISS Brand 16' Jump Shot42
40.0%
41
60.0%
Q2 - 6:41MIABosh 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)42
42.2%
41
57.8%
Q2 - 6:53PHIWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
44.5%
39
55.5%
Q2 - 6:53PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
44.1%
39
55.9%
Q2 - 7:04PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
41.8%
39
58.2%
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 140
41.4%
39
58.6%
Q2 - 7:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
44.2%
37
55.8%
Q2 - 7:22PHIMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 240
44.6%
37
55.4%
Q2 - 7:22PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
46.5%
37
53.5%
Q2 - 7:26PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
44.5%
37
55.5%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMISS Haslem 10' Turnaround Hook Shot39
43.6%
37
56.4%
Q2 - 7:42PHIHoliday Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)39
41.5%
37
58.5%
Q2 - 7:48PHI76ers Rebound39
44.5%
37
55.5%
Q2 - 7:49PHIMISS Meeks 16' Jump Shot39
42.4%
37
57.6%
Q2 - 8:10MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
44.1%
37
55.9%
Q2 - 8:10MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
44.5%
36
55.5%
Q2 - 8:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
46.6%
35
53.4%
Q2 - 8:19PHIMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 239
47.0%
35
53.0%
Q2 - 8:19PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
48.8%
35
51.2%
Q2 - 8:25MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)38
46.7%
35
53.3%
Q2 - 8:28PHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)38
44.0%
35
56.0%
Q2 - 8:46MIAHaslem 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)38
46.7%
35
53.3%
Q2 - 9:00PHITurner 1' Driving Dunk (15 PTS) (Hawes 2 AST)38
49.3%
33
50.7%
Q2 - 9:09PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
46.2%
33
53.8%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
45.4%
33
54.6%
Q2 - 9:24PHITurner 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)36
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 9:27PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot34
40.4%
33
59.6%
Q2 - 9:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q2 - 9:42PHIMISS Turner 14' Jump Shot34
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q2 - 10:00MIAHarris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)34
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q2 - 10:13PHITurner 12' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)34
38.4%
33
61.6%
Q2 - 10:29MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
36.3%
33
63.7%
Q2 - 10:44PHITurner 13' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)32
33.7%
33
66.3%
Q2 - 10:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
31.8%
33
68.2%
Q2 - 10:59MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 11:16PHITurner Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)30
33.8%
31
66.2%
Q2 - 11:31MIABosh 9' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)27
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q2 - 11:44MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q2 - 11:45PHIMISS Meeks 19' Jump Shot27
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0PHIWilliams 10' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)25
29.4%
29
70.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0PHIJames STEAL (2 STL)25
31.9%
27
68.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)25
33.5%
27
66.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0PHIIguodala 2' Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)25
31.8%
27
68.2%
Q1 - 1:00PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS Anthony 11' Turnaround Jump Shot23
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q1 - 1:16PHIMeeks 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q1 - 1:22MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 1:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
24.5%
27
75.5%
Q1 - 1:28PHIHaslem BLOCK (2 BLK)21
24.9%
27
75.1%
Q1 - 1:43PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot21
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q1 - 1:57MIAHEAT Rebound21
24.5%
27
75.5%
Q1 - 1:58PHIMISS Young 14' Jump Bank Shot21
24.9%
27
75.1%
Q1 - 2:23MIAJames 1' Putback Dunk (10 PTS)21
26.2%
27
73.8%
Q1 - 2:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot21
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 2:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q1 - 2:38PHIHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)21
28.7%
25
71.3%
Q1 - 2:42PHI76ers Rebound21
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q1 - 2:43PHIMISS Young 2' Running Layup21
28.7%
25
71.3%
Q1 - 2:47PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Running Jump Shot21
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 3:02PHIJames STEAL (1 STL)21
28.0%
25
72.0%
Q1 - 3:16MIAJames 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
30.0%
25
70.0%
Q1 - 3:38PHIWilliams 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Young 1 AST)21
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q1 - 3:57PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
30.0%
23
70.0%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot19
29.4%
23
70.6%
Q1 - 4:07MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 4:07MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
28.3%
22
71.7%
Q1 - 4:09PHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)19
31.6%
21
68.4%
Q1 - 4:18MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 4:31PHIHawes Layup (4 PTS) (Holiday 4 AST)19
35.5%
19
64.5%
Q1 - 4:35PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 4:36PHIMISS Turner 15' Jump Shot17
32.2%
19
67.8%
Q1 - 5:01MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 5:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
35.4%
17
64.6%
Q1 - 5:06PHIMISS Hawes 11' Running Hook Shot17
36.0%
17
64.0%
Q1 - 5:22PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
37.5%
17
62.5%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot17
36.9%
17
63.1%
Q1 - 5:40PHITurner 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)17
35.4%
17
64.6%
Q1 - 5:55MIATuriaf 1' Layup (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
33.7%
17
66.3%
Q1 - 6:14PHIHawes 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Holiday 3 AST)15
35.2%
15
64.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
33.5%
15
66.5%
Q1 - 6:44PHIBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
35.2%
13
64.8%
Q1 - 6:44PHIBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
34.8%
13
65.2%
Q1 - 6:58MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)11
33.5%
13
66.5%
Q1 - 7:13PHITurner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)11
35.0%
11
65.0%
Q1 - 7:27MIATuriaf 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)9
33.5%
11
66.5%
Q1 - 7:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
35.0%
9
65.0%
Q1 - 7:38PHIMISS Holiday 14' Jump Shot9
35.6%
9
64.4%
Q1 - 7:52PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 7:53PHIMISS Iguodala 3PT Jump Shot9
35.6%
9
64.4%
Q1 - 8:08MIAJump Ball Turiaf vs. Hawes: Tip to Brand9
36.8%
9
63.2%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Battier 2' Driving Layup9
36.3%
9
63.7%
Q1 - 8:22PHIHoliday 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
35.1%
9
64.9%
Q1 - 8:39MIAJames 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
33.3%
9
66.7%
Q1 - 8:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
36.3%
7
63.7%
Q1 - 8:58PHIBosh STEAL (1 STL)7
35.1%
7
64.9%
Q1 - 9:00PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
36.8%
7
63.2%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Battier 7' Turnaround Hook Shot7
36.4%
7
63.6%
Q1 - 9:17MIATuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
35.2%
7
64.8%
Q1 - 9:19PHIMISS Hawes 15' Jump Shot7
35.7%
7
64.3%
Q1 - 9:33MIAChalmers 15' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
36.9%
7
63.1%
Q1 - 9:43PHIBrand 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
38.7%
5
61.3%
Q1 - 10:03MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)5
36.9%
5
63.1%
Q1 - 10:27PHIIguodala 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)5
38.3%
3
61.7%
Q1 - 10:33PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.3%
3
64.7%
Q1 - 10:34PHIMISS Turner 19' Jump Shot2
34.0%
3
66.0%
Q1 - 10:49PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.3%
3
64.7%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot2
34.7%
3
65.3%
Q1 - 11:12PHIHoliday 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)2
33.5%
3
66.5%
Q1 - 11:24MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
31.9%
3
68.1%
Q1 - 11:24MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:32MIAHEAT Rebound0
33.5%
1
66.5%
Q1 - 11:33MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup0
34.4%
1
65.6%
Q1 - 11:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
33.5%
1
66.5%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Turiaf Free Throw 2 of 20
34.7%
1
65.3%
Q1 - 11:45MIATuriaf Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
33.9%
1
66.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Turiaf vs. Hawes: Tip to James0
35.0%
0
65.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
16
29
55%
MIA
15
24
63%
Midrange
PHI
19
44
43%
MIA
17
38
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
MIA
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
PHI
14
17
82%
MIA
26
32
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Turner2665%13.0 / 20
L. Williams1845%9.0 / 20
S. Hawes1260%6.0 / 10
A. Iguodala1179%5.5 / 7
J. Holiday836%4.0 / 11
E. Brand844%4.0 / 9
T. Young840%4.0 / 10
J. Meeks225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4166%20.5 / 31
M. Chalmers1963%9.5 / 15
C. Bosh1761%8.5 / 14
R. Turiaf675%3.0 / 4
U. Haslem627%3.0 / 11
S. Battier440%2.0 / 5
T. Harris450%2.0 / 4
N. Cole233%1.0 / 3
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
77
+14
-16
91
MIA
78
+13
-17
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.08 53.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
106.6
PHI 100.0
MIA 104.2 +4.2
Pace
89.8
91.3
PHI 95.9 +3.7
MIA 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.8
PHI 15.0 +0.6
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.0%
50.5%
PHI 47.6%
MIA 48.7% +1.1%
TO %
11.9%
15.9%
PHI 15.8% +0.2%
MIA 16.0%
ORB %
24.5%
26.6%
PHI 23.8%
MIA 28.2% +4.4%
FTrt
21.7
30.7
PHI 20.5
MIA 42.7 +22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
53.8%
PHI 47.4% +4.5%
MIA 42.9%
STL %
8.9%
9.6%
PHI 10.8%
MIA 13.7% +2.9%
BLK %
8.0%
9.0%
PHI 8.1%
MIA 8.2% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.31 and 3.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.8%
53.5%
PHI 50.0%
MIA 53.8% +3.8%
Rim FG%
57.6%
61.1%
PHI 55.2%
MIA 62.5% +7.3%
Mid FG%
40.1%
40.0%
PHI 43.2%
MIA 44.7% +1.5%
3P %
36.2%
35.9%
PHI 30.0% +6.9%
MIA 23.1%
FT %
74.2%
77.5%
PHI 82.4% +1.1%
MIA 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.7%
36.7%
PHI 34.9% +2.9%
MIA 32.0%
Mid Att. %
51.9%
43.6%
PHI 53.0%
MIA 50.7% +2.3%
3P Att. %
17.5%
19.8%
PHI 12.0%
MIA 17.3% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points9399
Rebounds3843
Assists1815
Steals1013
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals38-8335-75
At-the-Rim FG16-2915-24
Midrange FG19-4417-38
2-Point FG35-7332-62
3-Point FG3-103-13
Free Throws14-1726-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 220 · 23
39.5
26
65%
8
1
0
0
4
5
0
8
2-3
67%
12-18
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 245 · 24
32.9
12
60%
5
2
1
2
1
5
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 22
32.1
8
36%
2
6
1
0
6
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 254 · 33
30.9
8
44%
6
2
4
3
2
2
3
3
6-6
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 215 · 28
26.2
11
79%
5
1
2
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
31.5
8
40%
7
1
1
0
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
30.4
18
45%
5
5
1
0
2
2
1
4
4-6
67%
4-11
36%
2-6
33%
G · 6'4" 210 · 25
16.6
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 36
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27
C · 6'10" 260 · 21
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
50%
38
18
10
5
16
0
10
28
14-17
82%
35-73
48%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.