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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
976ers39%8993
5Heat61%9399
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
39.5
29.6
26
64%
8
1
0
1
0
4
0
8
2-3
67%
12-18
4-9
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.9
32.9
22.8
12
61%
5
2
1
0
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.8
32.1
30.3
8
36%
2
6
1
1
0
6
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-10
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.1
30.9
31.4
8
46%
6
2
4
1
3
2
3
3
6-6
100%
1-6
5-10
17%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
26.2
32.4
11
79%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
47%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
31.5
23.7
8
40%
7
1
1
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
30.4
20.8
18
46%
5
5
1
1
0
2
1
4
4-6
67%
4-11
3-7
36%
43%
2-6
33%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
16.6
26.2
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.1
7.5
0
1-2
44%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
7.4
0
1-2
44%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.4
6.2
0
1-2
47%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.2
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
1.4
0
0-0
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.3
38.1
35.2
41
67%
6
4
3
2
1
4
3
3
10-13
77%
14-23
8-14
61%
54%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
37.3
31.9
17
62%
5
0
2
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
32.1
26.1
19
61%
6
4
2
1
0
4
0
6
6-6
100%
5-9
1-3
56%
50%
1-4
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
27.9
21.9
4
41%
4
3
3
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
22.5
11.9
6
80%
6
0
0
0
2
0
1
5
2-4
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
26.6
25.6
6
27%
11
0
1
0
2
1
3
8
0-0
-
3-11
3-6
27%
46%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
18.1
6.3
4
45%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-1
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
15.9
20.3
2
35%
1
3
2
1
0
5
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
15.4
5.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
6.1
18.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.2
3.0
0
0-1
43%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
1.2
0
0-0
53%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.2
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.