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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Suns61%106109
24Kings39%102100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
36.8
33.1
15
67%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-5
80%
4-7
4-8
57%
54%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
34.4
31.6
15
43%
6
0
0
1
4
1
2
4
3-3
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
48%
0-7
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.2
32.7
31.9
18
70%
7
11
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
55%
2-3
67%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.3
31.6
27.9
12
40%
6
3
1
1
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
1-5
20%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
31.6
28.1
20
71%
10
0
1
1
3
2
1
9
6-7
86%
7-11
6-11
64%
57%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.6
15.8
13.4
16
55%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
6-12
2-3
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.8
15.3
14.0
2
26%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.8
14.1
11.5
4
40%
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
59%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.0
14.1
18.6
6
63%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
4-4
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
13.6
6.9
1
13%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.7
11.0
0
2-3
49%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.5
10.9
0
2-3
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
5.3
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.2
38.5
28.6
25
70%
3
7
0
1
0
3
0
3
8-11
73%
7-9
3-6
78%
48%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.6
37.6
30.6
41
66%
12
2
2
1
1
2
5
7
9-14
64%
16-25
7-16
64%
46%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
33.5
29.9
8
30%
6
4
1
1
1
2
1
5
0-1
0%
4-13
5-11
31%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.7
17.0
26.6
2
25%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.1
12.8
17.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
31.1
22.8
16
68%
6
5
0
1
2
2
0
6
2-4
50%
7-10
3-6
70%
42%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.8
28.5
15.1
2
14%
7
0
2
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.5
18.0
6.0
4
52%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
12.6
16.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-5
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
10.4
6.5
2
33%
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
24.5
1
3-7
49%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.3
14.5
1
1-2
48%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.7
1.5
0
0-0
49%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.