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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks72%99116
30Bobcats28%9196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.2
38.0
24.5
12
87%
16
3
2
1
2
2
5
11
2-2
100%
5-6
3-5
83%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
22.6
35.8
15
42%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
7-16
9-17
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
22.6
35.4
11
62%
1
5
0
2
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
52%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
21.7
33.6
18
90%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
6-6
5-10
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.3
15.8
25.4
3
50%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
31.1
21.6
17
67%
6
1
1
1
1
4
1
5
6-6
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
52%
1-1
100%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
27.2
24.3
14
79%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
2-3
67%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
26.3
15.6
11
56%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
1-1
100%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
25.4
9.7
15
68%
4
9
2
0
1
1
0
4
7-7
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
4.9
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
4.3
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.9
9.8
0
1-2
46%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
1.3
0
0-0
60%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.1
32.4
31.1
17
43%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-16
5-12
38%
45%
1-3
33%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
24.3
34.8
8
39%
4
2
0
1
1
3
2
2
2-3
67%
3-9
6-12
33%
46%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.6
24.1
29.0
4
34%
5
0
0
1
3
0
2
3
0-2
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.9
23.6
30.4
10
54%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-4
4-9
25%
40%
2-4
50%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.6
22.2
27.3
8
80%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
52%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
25.8
12.5
6
34%
2
2
4
0
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.8
24.4
3.6
22
64%
3
3
0
0
0
4
1
2
4-5
80%
9-15
0-1
60%
40%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
23.7
10.0
9
104%
0
0
4
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
19.8
11.0
8
51%
4
1
2
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
43%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
19.7
13.2
4
67%
5
3
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.4
20.2
0
2-4
43%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
18.7
0
2-4
49%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.2
3.7
0
0-1
42%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.