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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Magic34%8988
1076ers66%9482
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
44.1
30.7
20
46%
22
6
1
1
2
2
9
13
12-18
67%
4-14
6-10
29%
57%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
42.2
29.5
10
50%
8
5
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
2-6
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.8
41.3
31.5
19
64%
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
42%
1-4
25%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.3
37.4
28.3
23
50%
12
0
1
1
0
0
5
7
5-5
100%
9-21
4-10
43%
42%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.2
31.7
31.1
8
29%
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
1-6
3-7
17%
46%
1-6
17%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
20.1
18.6
6
75%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
2-4
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
13.7
14.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
40%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.7
9.7
10.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.1
27.2
1
2-4
45%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
5.1
0
0-1
38%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.7
3.0
0
0-1
45%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.0
2.0
0
0-0
41%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
0.9
0
0-0
42%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
42.9
31.9
6
28%
4
10
1
1
1
3
2
2
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.1
35.8
31.8
7
44%
11
4
0
1
3
1
2
9
1-2
50%
3-7
5-10
43%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.9
27.5
26.0
7
29%
6
4
0
0
4
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-11
4-8
27%
50%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.8
24.4
31.2
5
26%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
19.4
30.3
6
38%
5
1
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
30.8
23.2
16
116%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
4-5
80%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
30.2
27.6
20
55%
7
1
1
1
0
0
3
4
4-5
80%
8-16
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
27.6
23.8
15
55%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.2
1.4
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.5
4.3
0
1-1
50%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.9
3.9
0
1-1
46%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.2
2.8
0
0-1
50%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.5
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.