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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks43%9489
11Grizzlies57%9694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.8
35.8
36.0
17
48%
8
2
0
1
0
3
0
8
4-4
100%
2-9
7-14
22%
49%
3-7
43%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.9
34.3
31.2
12
68%
11
3
3
1
0
1
3
8
1-2
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.2
30.3
22.2
14
83%
4
3
0
1
3
0
0
4
1-1
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
1-2
50%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
25.0
25.0
8
45%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.4
11.7
21.1
1
27%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.6
36.1
32.8
12
61%
2
8
2
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
47%
3-6
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
36.1
16.4
16
63%
6
1
0
0
1
2
2
4
2-4
50%
7-11
2-5
64%
55%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
23.4
21.0
9
45%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.4
4.3
13.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
3.2
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.4
12.9
0
1-3
54%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.5
2.2
0
0-1
43%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
1.9
0
0-1
40%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.3
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
32.8
35.4
25
73%
5
3
1
1
0
4
1
4
4-5
80%
6-10
6-12
60%
48%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
32.4
34.8
9
36%
7
3
1
1
1
1
1
6
1-1
100%
4-12
6-11
33%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
32.4
14.5
9
59%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-6
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
29.2
29.1
12
61%
1
5
2
2
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
20.4
21.4
4
29%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
32.9
26.9
6
31%
2
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-4
3-8
25%
45%
0-4
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.7
28.5
24.3
15
47%
11
4
1
1
0
1
2
9
2-2
100%
5-14
4-9
36%
48%
1-1
100%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.3
17.0
12.8
14
85%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
5-5
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
3-5
60%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.0
10.8
13.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.9
3.6
3.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.2
21.2
1
3-5
50%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.1
6.1
0
1-2
40%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.