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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Timberwolves51%9990
24Hornets49%9899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.6
35.3
37.3
29
58%
12
3
1
1
1
0
5
7
4-5
80%
8-15
7-14
53%
49%
3-8
38%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.8
34.0
18.8
10
42%
1
7
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.3
25.8
20.1
11
53%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
3-3
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
55%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
20.6
25.3
5
37%
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
17.8
27.5
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
30.3
6.3
20
78%
7
1
1
0
1
3
1
6
3-4
75%
4-7
1-2
57%
47%
3-4
75%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
27.4
26.3
4
20%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
44%
0-3
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.9
15.4
23.3
4
40%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.9
14.0
14.3
2
100%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.7
12.7
4.6
2
100%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
6.8
17.3
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 36.0
9.6
0
1-1
47%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.8
3.9
0
1-1
48%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.5
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
36.0
21.8
26
77%
10
0
3
1
0
0
5
5
2-2
100%
12-16
4-7
75%
49%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
32.5
28.9
11
50%
5
10
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
30.6
24.4
21
93%
10
4
1
0
4
2
2
8
3-3
100%
9-10
5-10
90%
47%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
25.0
25.0
10
35%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-5
60%
2-9
4-8
22%
49%
1-3
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
15.7
20.6
4
50%
1
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
29.3
19.8
9
51%
6
3
0
1
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
25.2
24.8
6
36%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.6
23.6
21.0
8
46%
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
4-4
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
51%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
16.9
20.6
4
33%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
4.5
12.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
0.6
16.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
13.6
0
2-4
48%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.7
5.8
0
1-1
48%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.