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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies82%10285
30Bobcats18%8980
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
37.0
32.3
20
79%
2
7
3
2
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
30.6
34.8
9
30%
6
1
3
1
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
4-11
6-12
36%
51%
0-3
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.7
23.6
17.8
6
31%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
2-4
50%
2-8
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
22.3
29.2
8
68%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
5-8
60%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.3
14.1
21.8
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
31.0
26.8
9
45%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
22.8
14.9
8
68%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.8
21.4
25.9
14
64%
6
4
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
52%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.0
20.6
12.3
9
61%
3
0
3
0
1
1
1
2
1-3
33%
4-6
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.1
9.7
1.5
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
49%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.9
5.7
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.3
1.2
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.1
6.6
0
1-2
46%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.6
41.4
30.6
7
61%
10
0
0
1
2
3
2
8
1-4
25%
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
40.1
30.8
32
60%
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
6-6
100%
10-21
5-12
48%
47%
2-3
67%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.2
39.9
27.5
11
37%
11
2
0
0
0
4
6
5
3-4
75%
4-13
4-9
31%
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.6
38.5
30.7
11
36%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
5-13
4-8
38%
51%
0-2
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.0
36.2
28.2
11
37%
6
5
2
1
1
7
0
6
0-0
-
4-11
3-8
36%
40%
1-4
25%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
14.8
21.1
3
52%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.9
11.8
11.7
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
40%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 31.9
9.5
14.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
7.8
13.3
3
104%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.4
13.9
0
1-3
43%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
9.6
0
1-2
49%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
9.5
0
1-3
43%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.2
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.4
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.