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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Celtics48%8992
17Hawks52%9097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
36.9
34.1
28
59%
1
3
4
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
11-20
4-9
55%
48%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
36.7
33.5
10
31%
5
3
2
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
4-15
5-11
27%
49%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.0
31.6
14.3
17
85%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
44%
3-4
75%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.4
23.6
16.6
4
67%
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
9.6
20.0
4
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
34.3
7.5
12
44%
8
3
4
0
0
2
3
5
2-4
50%
5-10
1-2
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
30.4
4.9
8
68%
5
1
0
0
0
2
4
1
0-2
0%
4-5
0-1
80%
54%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.1
18.6
5.5
5
43%
4
1
1
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
1-4
25%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.2
15.0
2.3
4
29%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
0-1
29%
47%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
3.5
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.5
31.8
1
5-10
48%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.9
28.7
1
6-13
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.2
27.8
1
3-6
48%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.4
35.0
27.1
19
52%
12
2
3
1
3
7
3
9
3-3
100%
8-16
6-12
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
30.7
28.5
30
74%
5
6
2
1
1
0
2
3
5-5
100%
8-14
3-7
57%
48%
3-4
75%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.4
24.8
10.5
8
63%
7
4
0
0
0
0
2
5
2-3
67%
3-5
1-1
60%
40%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.3
24.4
20.1
8
133%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
2-2
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.9
20.4
25.3
2
17%
2
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
26.9
26.8
6
100%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
4-8
100%
49%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
23.3
25.7
4
33%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
17.0
19.3
5
51%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-4
-
41%
1-4
25%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
14.7
16.1
8
80%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.9
14.3
15.1
1
17%
4
2
0
0
1
5
1
3
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
8.6
11.5
6
77%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.5
7.6
0
1-2
41%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.8
1.5
0
0-0
56%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.2
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.