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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers34%9797
4Spurs66%103121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.4
30.3
34.3
10
46%
3
2
3
1
0
1
3
0
3-4
75%
2-7
3-7
29%
44%
1-2
50%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.7
29.8
11.0
18
65%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
6-9
2-5
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.8
29.5
34.7
11
47%
8
2
0
1
2
2
1
7
3-4
75%
4-10
7-14
40%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.5
29.5
32.5
17
68%
2
1
1
0
1
3
1
1
7-8
88%
5-9
8-14
56%
55%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
24.5
27.8
5
26%
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
1-1
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.1
25.1
26.0
14
57%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
1-4
25%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.1
20.9
21.3
6
75%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.1
18.2
15.5
5
63%
4
2
2
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
1-1
100%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.0
10.7
9.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.5
8.5
23.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
7.8
3.2
5
91%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
3-4
75%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
2.5
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
2.5
3.2
4
106%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
27.8
24.3
20
62%
1
10
2
1
0
4
0
1
4-5
80%
8-13
5-10
62%
51%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
26.1
20.7
8
54%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.0
26.1
18.9
21
68%
8
3
3
0
2
2
2
6
1-1
100%
10-15
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
20.0
19.1
4
67%
6
0
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
58%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
18.8
21.3
8
80%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
25.0
20.5
20
89%
6
7
0
1
0
4
3
3
5-5
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
3-4
75%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
24.5
19.8
8
82%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
21.8
24.7
4
52%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
19.4
17.0
12
75%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
2-3
67%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
18.4
19.3
7
88%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
1-2
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.0
7.0
16.5
6
61%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
2.5
12.2
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-1
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
2.5
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.