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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors28%9474
14Pacers72%10172
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
40.4
39.9
15
48%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
5-6
83%
5-13
7-15
38%
45%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
39.1
33.3
13
62%
10
10
0
1
0
4
1
9
1-1
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
47%
2-2
100%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
29.8
35.0
8
31%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
5-12
14%
46%
2-6
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
22.1
16.6
9
51%
8
2
2
0
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
18.2
15.7
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.5
29.1
23.6
7
33%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
3-4
75%
2-8
3-6
25%
55%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
24.5
17.9
10
43%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
15.1
11.8
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.8
12.9
7.4
7
70%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
43%
1-1
100%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.0
8.9
12.3
3
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.9
5.4
0
1-1
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.1
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.1
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
41.3
35.7
12
38%
9
4
3
2
0
2
3
6
4-4
100%
1-8
4-7
13%
50%
2-6
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.5
36.9
33.7
18
43%
5
2
2
1
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
8-16
4-7
50%
51%
0-4
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.2
36.8
33.4
11
35%
6
2
0
1
2
2
2
4
5-8
63%
3-12
7-14
25%
51%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
27.1
23.8
7
58%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.9
24.3
28.3
6
33%
9
1
3
0
2
2
3
6
0-0
-
3-9
5-9
33%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.8
27.7
25.8
6
38%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
1-2
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.0
22.4
19.4
5
54%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
0-2
2-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.0
12.5
12.6
3
39%
6
0
0
0
2
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.0
11.1
12.8
4
82%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
7.7
0
1-2
47%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.2
1.6
0
0-0
51%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
1.4
0
0-0
46%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
1.2
0
0-0
54%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.