Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, November 13, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Bobcats | 45% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Knicks | 78% | 101 | 99 |
 | 28 | Magic | 22% | 90 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | 28% | 94 | 74 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Nets | 65% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Lakers | 53% | 100 | 82 |
Monday, November 12, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 24 | Raptors | 49% | 103 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Bucks | 43% | 95 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 67% | 103 | 92 |
 | 28 | Pistons | 33% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Celtics | 38% | 94 | 101 |
 | 8 | Bulls | 62% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Heat | 52% | 98 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Timberwolves | 42% | 95 | 90 |
 | 17 | Mavericks | 58% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 101 | 87 |
Sunday, November 11, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 30% | 94 | 74 |
| 20 | Nets | 70% | 101 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 35% | 98 | 76 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 56% | 100 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 20% | 97 | 91 |
| 4 | Thunder | 80% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 23% | 95 | 90 |
| 8 | Lakers | 77% | 105 | 103 |
Saturday, November 10, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 49% | 99 | 93 |
| 25 | Raptors | 51% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 27% | 90 | 85 |
| 13 | Pacers | 73% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 68% | 103 | 97 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 32% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 27% | 92 | 80 |
| 8 | Bulls | 73% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 22% | 94 | 82 |
| 10 | Rockets | 78% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 46% | 98 | 96 |
| 14 | Bucks | 54% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 35% | 101 | 81 |
| 17 | Jazz | 65% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 55% | 100 | 112 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 58% | 105 | 107 |
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Friday, November 9, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 56% | 99 | 101 |
| 28 | Wizards | 44% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 47% | 99 | 107 |
| 25 | Magic | 53% | 100 | 68 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 36% | 91 | 106 |
| 11 | Celtics | 64% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 24% | 92 | 94 |
| 2 | Knicks | 76% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 53% | 100 | 95 |
| 9 | Hawks | 47% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 35% | 96 | 85 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 65% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 23% | 93 | 99 |
| 21 | Hornets | 77% | 103 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 20% | 94 | 94 |
| 4 | Thunder | 80% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 48% | 93 | 94 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 52% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 39% | 103 | 105 |
| 20 | Suns | 61% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 72% | 103 | 97 |
| 27 | Kings | 28% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 35% | 99 | 84 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 65% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 27% | 98 | 77 |
| 8 | Lakers | 73% | 106 | 101 |
Thursday, November 8, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 43% | 96 | 97 |
| 7 | Bulls | 57% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 55% | 104 | 103 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 102 | 90 |
Wednesday, November 7, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 62% | 104 | 117 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 38% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 25% | 92 | 94 |
| 12 | Celtics | 75% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 38% | 95 | 86 |
| 10 | Hawks | 62% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 17% | 98 | 73 |
| 1 | Heat | 83% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 51% | 103 | 108 |
| 14 | Bucks | 49% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 43% | 93 | 77 |
| 19 | Hornets | 57% | 95 | 62 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 41% | 99 | 93 |
| 11 | Rockets | 59% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 31% | 96 | 75 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 69% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 24% | 95 | 104 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 76% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 53% | 101 | 86 |
| 16 | Jazz | 47% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 33% | 98 | 103 |
| 25 | Kings | 67% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 52% | 103 | 84 |
| 5 | Clippers | 48% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 32% | 102 | 96 |
| 18 | Warriors | 68% | 109 | 106 |
Tuesday, November 6, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 23% | 94 | 93 |
| 7 | Bulls | 77% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 26% | 95 | 88 |
| 4 | Thunder | 74% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 20% | 96 | 97 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 80% | 107 | 109 |
Monday, November 5, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 58% | 96 | 110 |
| 20 | 76ers | 42% | 93 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 35% | 102 | 107 |
| 21 | Nets | 65% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 14% | 94 | 99 |
| 1 | Heat | 86% | 108 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 34% | 98 | 94 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 66% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 99 | 91 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 59% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 25% | 92 | 79 |
| 2 | Spurs | 75% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 49% | 103 | 92 |
| 26 | Kings | 51% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 18% | 98 | 108 |
| 5 | Clippers | 82% | 110 | 101 |
Sunday, November 4, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 31% | 92 | 84 |
| 4 | Knicks | 69% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 45% | 100 | 86 |
| 15 | Raptors | 55% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 48% | 98 | 94 |
| 25 | Magic | 52% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 35% | 99 | 104 |
| 3 | Thunder | 65% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 20% | 95 | 79 |
| 6 | Lakers | 80% | 106 | 108 |
Saturday, November 3, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 57% | 98 | 89 |
| 27 | Wizards | 43% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 30% | 95 | 98 |
| 14 | Pacers | 70% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 43% | 102 | 100 |
| 18 | Nets | 57% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 26% | 95 | 116 |
| 2 | Heat | 74% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 23% | 92 | 89 | |
| 8 | Bulls | 77% | 102 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 100 | 95 |
| 7 | Rockets | 72% | 107 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 24% | 95 | 102 |
| 13 | Bucks | 76% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 19% | 91 | 99 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 81% | 102 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 17% | 93 | 100 |
| 1 | Spurs | 83% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 19% | 98 | 114 |
| 4 | Clippers | 81% | 110 | 110 |
Friday, November 2, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 76% | 101 | 89 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 24% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 62% | 102 | 89 |
| 23 | Magic | 38% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 32% | 97 | 99 |
| 8 | Celtics | 68% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 36% | 98 | 109 |
| 6 | Hawks | 64% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 65% | 101 | 115 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 35% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heat | 58% | 101 | 84 |
| 5 | Knicks | 42% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 51% | 104 | 86 |
| 24 | Hornets | 49% | 103 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 95 | 92 |
| 3 | Thunder | 74% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 45% | 100 | 80 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 55% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 34% | 98 | 89 |
| 17 | Suns | 66% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 39% | 100 | 105 |
| 4 | Lakers | 61% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 58% | 103 | 104 |
| 21 | Warriors | 42% | 100 | 94 |
Thursday, November 1, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 41% | 99 | 84 |
| 2 | Spurs | 59% | 102 | 86 |
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 48% | 100 | 90 |
| 15 | Raptors | 52% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 54% | 101 | 75 |
| 19 | 76ers | 46% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 58% | 100 | 105 |
| 29 | Pistons | 42% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 27% | 98 | 87 |
| 10 | Bulls | 73% | 106 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 69% | 103 | 99 |
| 26 | Hornets | 31% | 96 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 38% | 96 | 94 |
| 18 | Jazz | 62% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 40% | 100 | 87 |
| 17 | Suns | 60% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 37% | 98 | 92 |
| 5 | Clippers | 63% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 67% | 105 | 106 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 99 | 116 |