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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Trail Blazers44%101103
26Kings56%10286
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
36.6
37.2
19
52%
5
2
1
1
2
2
1
4
9-10
90%
5-14
9-18
36%
49%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
36.2
36.4
18
84%
4
1
1
2
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.3
35.2
36.5
22
94%
2
9
0
1
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
2-4
4-9
50%
43%
5-6
83%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.2
33.6
29.9
10
50%
13
0
0
1
0
1
4
9
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.9
33.3
38.0
15
54%
7
5
3
1
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-5
4-7
80%
51%
2-8
25%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.4
20.5
14.5
8
80%
6
2
2
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
2-3
67%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.0
14.7
11.0
6
75%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
2-4
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
9.4
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.7
9.2
16.7
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
5.1
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.3
2.5
2.3
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
1-2
50%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
2.2
2.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.2
1.6
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 21.9
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
32.6
24.8
16
56%
2
0
1
1
2
2
0
2
2-3
67%
7-12
3-7
58%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
31.4
31.7
8
40%
11
0
0
1
2
2
2
9
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
53%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.4
30.6
23.9
6
43%
8
6
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
29.6
29.0
10
51%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
4-6
5-10
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.8
7.1
18.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.4
32.1
25.3
14
47%
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
0-3
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
30.3
6.0
12
68%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
5-7
1-2
71%
49%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
24.6
9.0
13
47%
1
6
1
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
5-9
1-2
56%
46%
0-3
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.9
21.6
17.8
7
58%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
1-1
100%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
23.6
1
3-5
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
17.7
1
4-9
47%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
14.7
0
1-3
43%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
5.8
0
0-1
48%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.