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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Celtics51%9594
2176ers49%9495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
44.8
28.6
27
46%
4
5
0
1
1
4
0
4
8-12
67%
8-16
4-8
50%
47%
1-8
13%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.2
43.9
34.3
4
16%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-5
3-5
0%
49%
1-7
14%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.8
42.3
27.4
16
54%
13
14
3
1
3
5
3
10
0-2
0%
8-14
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
34.3
26.9
17
67%
10
2
1
1
0
3
2
8
3-4
75%
7-11
5-11
64%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
23.0
26.9
2
53%
7
0
0
1
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
0-1
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
28.6
21.5
19
69%
8
0
1
1
1
2
1
7
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
3-5
60%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
19.9
25.3
5
63%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
14.7
14.4
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
13.6
18.1
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.0
7.0
0
1-2
46%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.0
6.4
0
1-1
46%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.0
6.0
0
0-1
42%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.1
45.0
36.2
26
45%
10
5
0
1
1
4
2
8
4-6
67%
8-23
5-12
35%
45%
2-3
67%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
44.6
31.7
17
43%
12
2
2
1
0
0
8
4
3-4
75%
7-18
6-11
39%
52%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
43.0
34.3
15
40%
6
4
3
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
7-18
5-11
39%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
41.6
29.1
13
44%
3
3
5
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
0-5
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
32.4
26.5
8
59%
11
1
0
1
0
2
2
9
4-4
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
21.5
19.7
10
50%
6
1
1
0
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
16.2
14.2
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.9
13.7
9.0
4
72%
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
7.0
6.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.6
11.2
0
1-3
41%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
9.4
0
1-2
45%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.7
9.2
0
1-2
51%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
2.8
0
0-0
41%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.