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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors37%98109
12Nets63%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
43.0
37.9
28
69%
4
5
2
2
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
5-9
56%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
41.0
36.3
30
63%
15
2
0
1
0
2
7
8
2-4
50%
14-22
7-14
64%
50%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
36.3
35.5
13
59%
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
45%
3-7
43%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
23.2
29.0
6
51%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
8.6
17.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
30.2
24.8
15
63%
2
8
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
47%
1-1
100%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
27.8
11.9
6
33%
10
3
3
0
0
2
4
6
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
18.6
25.2
7
79%
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
4
1-1
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
51%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
5.7
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.8
5.5
6.3
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
0.1
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.5
3.0
0
0-0
44%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.5
0.4
0
0-0
44%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
41.4
37.0
23
47%
5
8
0
1
1
3
1
4
5-6
83%
6-12
4-9
50%
49%
2-10
20%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
38.9
37.3
32
65%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
8-14
5-9
57%
49%
4-9
44%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
37.3
32.8
8
45%
6
4
1
1
2
4
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
34.8
25.0
22
65%
15
2
4
1
0
2
7
8
5-9
56%
7-12
5-11
58%
46%
1-1
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
22.8
28.3
4
52%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.1
19.1
20.8
5
36%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.6
17.9
20.6
2
100%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.6
11.1
11.8
6
60%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
2-3
67%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.6
6.3
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
5.9
7.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.9
3.1
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.5
1.4
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-1
0%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.7
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.