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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Bulls62%97108
25Pistons38%93104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
43.4
40.1
30
68%
23
6
2
1
2
2
10
13
6-7
86%
12-19
5-10
63%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
42.4
40.5
16
48%
5
6
1
1
2
1
2
3
3-4
75%
5-13
5-11
38%
48%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
40.0
25.6
16
58%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
2-6
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.0
39.0
29.3
24
63%
6
2
2
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
12-19
6-12
63%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.9
35.8
30.0
13
96%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
2-3
67%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.2
13.6
20.5
3
80%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
13.6
19.2
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.5
12.3
16.8
2
13%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-3
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
4.9
0
1-1
49%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
1.2
0
0-0
40%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.8
1.0
0
0-0
42%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.8
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.0
34.8
27.5
21
75%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
6-7
86%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
3-3
100%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.8
34.5
33.3
13
56%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
5-6
83%
4-9
4-10
44%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.8
27.0
27.0
6
44%
9
0
1
1
0
0
1
8
2-4
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.5
25.3
27.8
13
47%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
6-13
5-10
46%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
23.6
31.5
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.6
35.8
27.7
24
77%
1
7
2
1
1
2
0
1
8-8
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
44%
2-3
67%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.3
22.7
22.4
7
90%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-3
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.3
20.5
16.0
15
83%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
3-5
60%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
15.7
16.9
3
52%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.9
4.0
0
1-1
44%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.8
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.5
1.7
0
0-0
41%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.