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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets31%10092
5Spurs69%107114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
34.4
37.0
29
76%
3
5
4
1
0
3
0
3
6-7
86%
7-10
5-10
70%
49%
3-6
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
32.5
29.7
10
36%
5
5
1
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
0-3
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
26.1
26.7
4
22%
6
4
1
2
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
24.3
35.5
7
34%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
24.1
27.5
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
5
3
2
0-0
-
0-6
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
21.9
20.6
10
56%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
40%
2-4
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
17.7
22.3
9
64%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
3-5
60%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
17.4
15.0
2
20%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
13.7
18.3
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
11.3
8.0
8
44%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
39%
2-5
40%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
7.5
3.0
9
90%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
44%
1-1
100%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
7.5
1.8
2
50%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
1.4
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
25.7
30.4
12
55%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
6-7
4-8
86%
49%
0-4
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
25.2
32.1
17
82%
1
7
1
1
1
2
0
1
3-3
100%
7-9
7-13
78%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
23.4
26.6
12
46%
12
3
0
1
2
1
2
10
0-0
-
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
20.3
15.4
8
68%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
17.8
12.7
6
50%
3
1
3
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
20.8
15.1
7
58%
4
5
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
19.9
24.1
12
61%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
52%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
19.7
22.3
15
86%
6
2
0
1
1
2
2
4
3-4
75%
6-7
4-6
86%
60%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
18.7
6.7
12
75%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
2-4
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
16.6
21.7
2
33%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
14.0
9.3
2
33%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
9.9
20.1
5
63%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
8.2
10.0
4
50%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.4
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.